Swing Trade Ideas – August 28, 2025
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
** ‘Y’ – year
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong – neutral set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals, Bitcoin
· Yields: 30Y Bond +0.05% Currencies: USA$ -0.25% CAD +0.23% YEN+0.27% BTC/USD+0.69% Vix: 16.75
·
Stocks: SNOW+13.5% CM+2.2% TD+2.7% TCOM+7.8% DG+6.1% PSTG+15%
BURL+7.4% OLLI+5% FIVE+3.6% NVDA-1.7% VEEV-3% NTAP-7.3% HRL-8%
COO-15% EPS
Events: USA: GDP 830ET
Equity: USA indices have risen overnight after falling post NVDA
earnings release. Small caps continue to lead large caps premarket ahead of USA
GDP print. MAG7 is led by AAPL, MSFT as money rotated to compensate for NVDA
pullback. NVDA dipped with data center revenue less than expected and
uncertainty of China revenue but bounced as either shorts covered or buy the
dippers stepped in. XRT was strong Wed and positive earnings reaction to DG,
FIVE, BURL, OLLI can spur the retail sector. In the tech sector SNOW positive
reaction builds on MDB to provide a boost to that portion of the software
sector. MSFT is starting to improve and may see a rotation within tech from
semi to software. TD and CM are higher, continuing the positive reaction to
Canadian bank earnings and powering the TSX. US$ is lower which supports
gold, silver and crypto. Bitcoin and Ethe are both higher with Ethe stronger
and bitcoin is showing signs of turning back up. China stocks are lower again
as a recent bounce was sold. Month end is usually positive as the monkeys mark
up and volatility front runs the long weekend. Implied volatility was elevated
into NVDA earnings and the unwind of vol with NVDA not causing a major change
in the AI spending boom is a contributor to the market bounce overnight. Pay
attention to how the market trades today as IMO the premarket bounce is
mechanical and NVDA results weren’t great but the monkeys may carry the day
into month end. ** USA preliminary GDP 3.3% Q/Q vs 3.1% expected; UE
claims 229k vs 231k; GDP price index 2% Q/Q inline Reaction: S&P
higher, in theory it should reduce demand for rate cuts but that train has
probably left the station. **
SPY 646.9 with Resistance at 648.4 and 650 with Support at 645.8, 645, and
643 QQQ 573 with Resistance at 574, 577.2, and 580 Support at 572, 570,
and 567
Daily Expected Move. SPX(6512-6450) SPY(650-643) QQQ(581-565)
IWM(237.9-234)
Stocks to watch NVDA, PLTR, MDB, SNOW, GOOS, KWEB, PYPL, Speculative
KSS,
RKLB, UUUU, LI
Pre-800ET
Indices MSOS, SLV, IBIT, ETHE, XRT, IWM, XBI, XLF, XLV, KWEB, SMH,
MAGS, XLK, $DXY
S&P500 DG, COO, NVDA,
Other SNOW, DG, CRWV, BMNR, IREN, MRVL, HIMS, COO, HMY, LI, XPEV, JD, BABA
MRVL
MRVL reports earnings after the close. It’s higher premarket with Wed block and darkpool trades ~74.97. Potential candidate for a run today. Premarket high 76.45 can be used for a momentum long or pullback > 76. Expected move for earnings +/- 7. MRVL has recently moved +/-20% on earnings so potential for a larger than expected move in either direction but can squeeze > 80.
