Swing Trade Ideas – October 20, 2025
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
** ‘Y’ – year
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Market Setup- Pre-730ET
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong – Neutral set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals, Bitcoin
· Yields: 30Y Bond -0.03% Currencies: USA$ +0.17%, CAD -0.13%, YEN-0.19%, BTC/USD+4%, Vix: 20.8
· Stocks: CLF+9%,
SMMT-5.4%, HBT EPS
Events: China: Industrial production Y/Y and GDP Q/Y better than
expected but retail sales Y/Y weaker.
Equity: USA indices higher premarket with volatility falling due to
absence of any negative Trump tweets. In absence of news the hedge fund
short names and popular retail sectors are leading with IWM, bitcoin, ARKG,
ARKK, UFO top of my leader board. MAGS are led by AAPL after iPhone17 report
but all positive despite AMZN AWS issues. Semis are being squeezed with MU AMD
TSM strong. Speculative rare earth names UAMY CRML having another squeeze
attempt. Bitcoin weekend pop has the monkeys chasing the miners and treasury
companies.
SPY 666 Resistance 668 670 Support 664 660, QQQ 606 Resistance 607 610 611
Support 605 600
Daily Expected Move. SPX(6716-6612), SPY(670-659) QQQ(611-597)
IWM(246-240)
Stocks to watch MU, TSLA, AAPL, AMD, SMCI, ORCL, NVDA, MU Speculative UAMY, CLF,
CRML, CLSK
Pre-800ET
Indices ETHE, UNG, IBIT, XME, ARKG, ARKQ, UFO, MSOS, QTUM, ARKF, /CL, TLT
S&P500 SMCI, MU, AMD, INTC, AAPL, TSLA
Other CELC, UAMY, CLF, CRML, CLSK, SMR, BMNR, CIFR, MARA, EOSE, RKLB, IBIT
TSLA
TSLA reports earnings this week and may see a run into earnings . Above 440 target 445 and 450 with daily move ~18. Higher premarket, once can consider momentum long > 445 or look for pullback to 440. Expected move into EOW +/-36 post earnings.
