Swing Trade Ideas – October 28, 2025
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
** ‘Y’ – year
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong – Neutral set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals, Bitcoin
· Yields: 30Y Bond +0.13% Currencies: USA$ -0.06%, CAD -0.02%, YEN+0.51%, BTC/USD-0.32% Vix:18.0
· Stocks: UNH+3.5%;
PYPL+14.5%; UPS+9.6%, CFLT+9%, SHW+5%, SOFI+3.3%; GLW-5.5%,
DHI-5% EPS BAM and CCJ US govt funding to build nuclear reactors; QRVO, SWKS merger
Events:USA: USA housing price data
Equity: Global indices flattish after Monday’s USA squeeze led by MAGS
post enthusiasm for the potential for an actual trade agreement with China or
alternatively a squeeze of the weekend shorts. QQQ led the bounce and is
already at the weekly expected move ahead of MAGS earnings and FOMC meeting,
hence extended. Earnings: PYPL 2x move with inline earnings but… OpenAI deal;
UPS 2x move as laggard beat; DHI 1x move lower as housing market weak; RCL
>1x move lower on EPS miss; GLW lower and CLS higher as datacenter revenue
strong; SOFI modestly higher on strong earnings. BAM/CCJ are latest beneficiary
of USA govt investment to build nuclear reactors and taking a position in
potential IPO. MAGS led by TSLA, AMZN, NVDA, GOOGL, with TSLA option volume
massive Mon and AMZN announcing 14k job cuts ahead of earnings. GOOGL is at the
top of the weekly expected move ahead of earnings. Gold and silver are
continuing to unwind, taking miners lower. SPX 0DTE has large positions at 6895
and 6840, which set targets for 0DTE trading algos that will likely hit one.
Correlation is low, so expect outsized moves in individual names at the expense
of the rest as dispersion trade reigns supreme. Speculative sectors leading
premarket are quantum and nuclear with the latter benefiting from the BAM/CCJ
news and the former clinging to the notion that USA will invest in one of tiny
companies. Wed is a big day with FOMC and several MAGS reporting so strap on
seat belts:)
SPY 686 Resistance 688 690 Support 685 682, QQQ 629.4 Resistance 630 632
Support 627 625 620
Daily Expected Move. SPX(6907-6843), SPY(688-682), QQQ(632-624),
IWM(252-248)
Stocks to watch PYPL, CCJ, AMZN, TSLA, CCJ Speculative WULF, SMR, GLXY, CIFR
Indices QTUM, IYT, MAGS, ARKQ, XLV, NUKZ, QQQ, UNG, GDX,
ETHE, GLD, /CL, KWEB, SLV, IBIT
S&P500 PYPL, UPS, SWKS, SHW, UNH, REGN, FDX, XYL, CNC, ADBE, CRWD, FFIV, ARE, RCL, GLW, DHI, CCL, NCHL, NEM
Other CCJ, WULF, UEC, UUUU, WRD, SOFI, SMR, QUBT, QBTS, GLXY, CIFR, IREN
SOFI
SOFI is higher post earnings but has moved less than the expected move. Large call position at 30 sets a support level. Potential for continuation higher or for a sell the news. Momentum traders can look for long > 31 or dips to 30. Below 30, there is a potential for a sell the news.
