Swing Trade Ideas – October 8, 2025
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
** ‘Y’ – year
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong – Neutral set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals, Bitcoin
· Yields: 30Y Bond +0.43%, Currencies: USA$ +0.3%, CAD +0.02%, YEN-0.6%, BTC/USD+1.03% Vix: 18
· Stocks:
Events: USA: FED meeting minutes 14ET
Equity: USA indices mildly higher premarket with IWM leading. ORCL
report that the margin from the server rental biz was 14% led to selling in the
AI related space. Premarket, all is forgotten, and semi chip suppliers are
higher with AMD upgraded, but semi equipment suppliers are lower as
implications of China export restrictions is slowly sinking in. MAG7 are led by
AMZN, NFLX, NVDA, TSLA, and semis led by AMD, MU, NVDA. US$ is higher,
which is usually a negative for commodities and equity but futures traders don’t
care and are bidding up gold, silver, copper, and oil. Speculative names are
bid post Tues pullback. CFLT is higher on report may be selling. Space names
ASTS, RKLB higher with ASTS cellular deal with VZ, watch the UFO etf. Bitcoin
higher should provide a lift to the usual suspects. JOBY lower with a
secondary, continuing a pattern of speculative companies raising money as the
stock pumps. Look for monkeys to buy the dip as fundamentals are irrelevant in
today’s market. SPX levels to watch are 6740 and 668,0, which are the large
positions of a 0DTE iron condor and look for one side to be hit today. A break
over one side or the other can lead to acceleration.
SPY 670.2 Resistance 672.3 675 Support 668 666, QQQ 605.4 Resistance 607
Support 605 604 600
Daily Expected Move. SPX(6746-6684), SPY(672-666), QQQ(609-600),
IWM(246-242)
Stocks to watch AMD, SLV, FCX Speculative CFLT, ASTS, CRML, QS, RKLB, SRPT, PL, JOBY, NNE,
RDW
Pre-800ET
Indices SLV, GDX /CL, GLD, XME, ARKF, ARKK, ARKG, TLT, IWM, XBI, QTUM, US$
S&P500 UNH, MU, PYPL, TSLA
Other CFLT, ASTS, CRML, QS, RKLB, SRPT, PL, AG, CLSK, BMNR, NBIS, SMR, PATH, ONDS, JOBY, NNE, RDW, BULL, ACHR, IREN, IONQ QBTS
AMZN
AMZN has been weak with weakening consumer and competition in the future from OpenAI and others weighing on the stock. Potential breakout opportunity with call positions 225-240 the catalyst for a move and a volume gap above. Idea is long above 225 with first target 230.
S&P500 UNH, MU, PYPL, TSLA
Other CFLT, ASTS, CRML, QS, RKLB, SRPT, PL, AG, CLSK, BMNR, NBIS, SMR, PATH, ONDS, JOBY, NNE, RDW, BULL, ACHR, IREN, IONQ QBTS
