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  • Swing Trade Ideas – November 19, 2025

    Nov 19, 2025 Uncategorized Comments Off on Swing Trade Ideas – November 19, 2025

    Date: Nov 19, 2025

    Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:

    ** ‘div’ – dividend

    ** ‘m/m’ – month over month

    ** ‘y/y’ – year over year

    ** ‘Inven’ – inventories

    ** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing

    ** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative

    ** Underlined text – higher volume premarket

    ** ‘d’ – day

    ** ‘Y’ – year

    **govt – government

    Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative

    Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong – neutral  set-up

    • Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals, Bitcoin
    • Yields: 30Y Bond +0.24%  Currencies:  USA$ +0.02% CAD +0.17% YEN-0.11%  BTC/USD -0.41%  Vix:22.55
    • Stocks: TGT-2.9%  LOW+5.4% TJX+2.7%  EPS U+8% Epic games Unity partnership NOK-5.6% splitting co in Jan
      Events: FOMC minutes 2ET
      Equity: USA indices higher premarket with expiration of Vix options at the open potentially providing a boost. FOMC minutes at 14ET may be market moving but big event is NVDA earnings after the close. Index IV is elevated into the NVDA print which is important for the key AI narrative. MAGS are led by NVDA, GOOGL, TSLA.  Metals higher with gold, silver and copper and upgrades to FCX, ALB. AI names small bounces [IREN PLTR NBIS CRWV] which ahead of NVDA may be short covering IMO but alternate thesis is bull trades for a positive NVDA print. A positive NVDA can result in a reduction in IV and given the negative setup in SPX and outsized weighting, a large equity rally is possible. Alternate is a negative NVDA reaction could lead to a Vix pop and an outsized move lower in SPX. Should markets bounce, IV will decrease so if trading options could consider spreads or flys. Looking at Dec 1 upside SPX upside target 7000 or downside target 6500-6350, will be an interesting week.

      SPY 662  Resistance 663.7 667.5  Support 660 658.35  QQQ 598.3  Resistance 600 605  Support 595 590
      Daily Expected Move. SPX(6677-6558)  SPY(666-654) QQQ(605.9-587)  IWM(237-230)

      Stocks to watch   GOOGL LOW NVDA TSLA   TGT    Speculative U IREN  CSIQ
      Indices SLV GDX UNG GLD XME MAGS XLY QTUM ARKK MSOS   /CL IBIT XLE ETHE KWEB

    S&P500  LOW ALB ON CEG TJX DASH NEM FCX MPWR NVDA   TGT BAX APA OXY DVN VLO XOM CVX COP

    Other U LOW MP IREN AG SMR SNDK QUBT NBIS QBTS GOOGL NVDA PLTR CRWV SOFI RKLB   AGIO CSIQ EOSE TGT OLMA QS

     

    NVDA

    NVDA reports earnings after the close. Expected move is +/- 13.5 with IV this week 2.5x average. Upside calls at 200 are potential resistance and puts diminish under 170. Traders are only slightly bullish.  Flys are a cheap way to trade NVDA which will move indices and AI related names. It is expected that NVDA will beat and Jensen is usually optimistic so the key will be whether the market buys what Jensen is selling.

       

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