Swing Trade Ideas – December 26, 2025
Date: Dec 26, 2025
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
** ‘Y’ – year
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong – neutral set-up
- Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals, Bitcoin
- Yields: 30Y Bond -0.05% Currencies: USA$ +0.05% CAD -0.08% YEN-0.34% BTC/USD+1.6% Vix:16.8
- Events: USA airstrike in Nigeria
- Stock News: NVDA acquired TPC private company to compete with GOOGL
Equity: Global indices flattish premarket on what should be a low liquidity day. S&P sectors are generally positive with XLP, XLC, XLF leading XLK so a value tilt. DIA leading and IWM lagging reinforces that notion. Metals continue to be leaders with Silver continuing to be parabolic and lithium names joining in. It’s the US$ debasement trade which is getting technically stretched. The memory names are bid premarket with MU, SNDK higher and a popular flavor of the AI trade. NVDA is the name to watch today after buying startup GROQ, which is a TPU company and a move to counter the TPU offerings of GOOGL/AVGO and protect marketshare, albeit at a lower price. SPX 6940-6900 is a potential chop zone with call positioning 6950/6960 potential resistance or acceleration levels which can ultimately lift SPX to 7000 at year end (JPM short strike is 7000). MAGS are mixed but aside from NVDA, AAPL is a name to watch as it trades well when value is outperforming growth and Tim Cook may have more shares to buy before year end to get a larger bonus and pay for the NKE shares he just bought:)
Daily Expected Move. SPX(6976-6888) SPY(695-686) QQQ(629-618) IWM(255-250)
Stocks to watch NVDA AAPL FCX ALB SLV MO WBD Speculative SGML HYMC SMR QUBT
Indices SLV UNG IBIT ETHE XME GDX GLD KWEB UFO SMH IWM ARKG XBI
S&P500 FCX MU ALB WDC NVDA MO WBD T
Other SGML CNG HYMC SNDK AG PAAS CSIQ CDE FCX HL DJT MU ALB BHVN CHA OMER MO WBD SMR QUBT TEM
AAPL
AAPL is a potential candidate for a run into EOY with target the call wall 280. Caveat is the gap below with support at 270. Can consider long > 275 or pullback > 272.5. IV percentile is 4% so options are relatively cheap if one is looking for a trade in either direction into Jan
