.

  • Swing Trade Ideas – August 13, 2025

    Aug 13, 2025 Uncategorized Comments Off on Swing Trade Ideas – August 13, 2025

    Date:Aug 13, 2025

    Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:

    ** ‘div’ – dividend

    ** ‘m/m’ – month over month

    ** ‘y/y’ – year over year

    ** ‘Inven’ – inventories

    ** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing

    ** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative

    ** Underlined text – higher volume premarket

    ** ‘d’ – day

    ** ‘Y’ – year

    **govt – government

    Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative

    Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong – neutral set-up

    • Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals, Bitcoin
    • Yields: 30Y Bond +0.49%  Currencies:  USA$ -0.35% CAD +.12% YEN+0.13%  BTC/USD +0.88%  Vix: 15.7
    • Stocks:VG+12.5% EAT+8.7%  CRWV-8.7% CAVA-24.4% RGTI-2.3%      EPS 
      Events: USA:Trump 11:15 ET
      Equity: Global indices followed the USA indices higher with China leading. USA indices led by IWM which is outperforming on the notion that the USA CPI print increases probability and magnitude of USA rate cuts. US$ lower and USA yields lower is positive for commodities, foreign equity and speculative assets. Beneficiaries of the lower US$ led by ETHE SLV and bitcoin and the plethora of names attached e.g. SBET, COIN.  China names led by TIGR, BABA, FUTU, PDD. Earnings movers: CAVA , CRWV , VG, EAT.  CRCL lower after a secondary offering, bouncing premarket worth watching. MAG7 led by AMD, AVGO with NVDA lagging. META hit the top of the weekly expected move Tues with strong call buying at the open. TSLA also hit the top of the weekly expected move before retreating so watch for short dated calls moving large stocks on open. Breadth was strong Tues for the first time since late July with laggards like regional banks, retail, airlines making large moves. AMZN has been lagging so potential candidate for a squeeze along with NVDA which still has earnings this month.  SPY is short term extended, well above value with 645 call wall a target nearby so reward/risk skewed to the downside but positioning should lead to all dips being bought as long as SPX > 6400 with 6500 the obvious target. No major economic news today but Trump is speaking 11:15 ET and his comments/actions have been the prime mover of markets. Note that Tues a lot of stocks made large moves which has left them short term extended.


      SPY 644.5 Resistance 645  Support 643.5 642 640  QQQ 582.2 Resistance 584 Support 580 576
      Daily Expected Move. SPX(6473-6418)  SPY(645-640) QQQ(584-576)  IWM(229-225)

      Stocks to watch  AMD KWEB SLV PLTR   Speculative TIGR FUTU CAVA
      Pre-800ET
      Indices ETHE MSOS KWEB SLV GDX IBIT KRE IWM ARKK ARKF XBI ARKG SMH   USO USD$

    S&P500  AMD COIN UNH PLTR

    Other ATNF VG TIGR SBET BABA FUTU SMR JOBY PDD BIDU JD IREN AMD NVO HIMS CAVA CRWV

    CSCO

    CSCO reports after the close with expected move +/3.6.  May be a pre earnings day trade candidate. Candidate for calendar directional trade or a neutral trade. CSCO doesn’t typically make large moves on earnings.

0 comment
Top