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  • Swing Trade Ideas – September 25, 2025

    Sep 25, 2025 Uncategorized Comments Off on Swing Trade Ideas – September 25, 2025

    Date:Sep 25, 2025

    Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:

    ** ‘div’ – dividend

    ** ‘m/m’ – month over month

    ** ‘y/y’ – year over year

    ** ‘Inven’ – inventories

    ** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing

    ** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative

    ** Underlined text – higher volume premarket

    ** ‘d’ – day

    ** ‘Y’ – year

    **govt – government

    Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative

    Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong – slight negative set-up

    • Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals, Bitcoin
    • Yields: 30Y Bond -0.16%  Currencies:  USA$+0.04% CAD +0.07% YEN-0.04%  BTC/USD-1.8%  Vix: 18.25
    • Stocks: JBL-3.5% KMX-12.6% BB+2.5% EPS IBM+2.8% quantum computing demo; OKLO-14% GS $117 price target
      Events: USA: jobless claims; GDP; Durable Goods 830ET Home sales 10ET; Many FED speakers
      Equity: Global indices lower ex- China ahead of US econ data. US GDP +3.8%vs 3.3%; UE claims 21k vs 233k; Durable goods 2.9% vs -.3%; PCE prices 2.6% vs 2.5%; Continuing claims 1.926M vs 1.932. Reaction: 10y yields higher to 4.18%; US$ higher; equity lower. Today’s econ data does not support the FED cut narrative hence the move in yields and the US$. MAG7 all lower led by TSLA which has recently been outperforming with AAPL the strongest name. Speculative tech, especially AI related are weakening premarket. MU, WDC, STX lower on news that China entering the memory market. Quantum names weaker but IBM higher on quantum computing news. OKLO lower on a GS analyst report. Bitcoin sharply lower which has historically been a leading indicator for speculative names and weighing on the related names. USA indices are approaching the lower daily expected move premarket. SPX6600 is a major option level which can act as support but below I see a position building at 6550 which is a downside target. Currently 6640 is an upside target.  Market has been call heavy with leveraged ETFs well bid, which increases potential downside risk should 0DTE put sellers step away.

      SPY 659.1 Resistance 660 662.1 664 Support 657.7 655  QQQ 593.4  Resistance 595 597 600  Support 592 590
    • Daily Expected Move. SPX(6673-6603)  SPY(665-657.6) QQQ(600-592)  IWM(243.5-240)

      Stocks to watch IBM SLV INTC PALL  KMX IBIT TSLA MU   Speculative CIFR SBSW  OKLO CRDO
      Pre-800ET
      Indices SLV UNG GDX KWEB GLD MSOS ETHE IBIT ARKK SMH NUKZ IGV MAGS QTUM IWM FEZ XLK QQQ

    S&P500  IBM INTC  KMX ORCL JBL PLTR HOOD COIN MU STX APP TT WDC GEHC AMD SMCI VST TSLA QCOM

    Other QURE CIFR ANGPY BIRK LQDA BHP SBSW AG XPEV UNFI LI RIO HL PAAS OKLO INOD ORBS CRDO ALAB UUU ASTS QS SBET LTM BE RGTI IONQ GLXY

    SPY

    SPX 6000 ~SPY 657.3 is a major level today. Look for support and bounce or break lower with currently 6550 (SPY 652.3) the next support level from 0DTE. SPY put wall at 655 is another level which can act as support. On bounce look for SPY 660 and 662 as resistance. Premarket USA indices are oversold technically so usually there is some bounce at the open and VWAP is a signal that can be used to gauge whether the bounce can continue.

     

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