Swing Trade Ideas – April 14, 2026
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing ** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
** ‘Y’ – year
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong – positive set-up
• Commodities: Gold, Silver, Copper, Palladium, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Bitcoin
• Yields: 30Y Bond +0.03% Currencies: USA$-0.30% CAD +0.25% YEN +0.31% BTC/USD+1.37% Vix:18.6
•
Events USA: PPI 830ET;
Stock News: WFC-2.5% C+0.87% BLK+2.2% KMX-5.4% JNJ JPM-0.35% Earnings NVO deal with chatgpt
Equity: Global indices higher in absence of a material change in the
middle east as oil declines which leads to lower US$ and lower yields. Vix is
being actively sold ahead of Vix expiration Wed morning which should be
positive for equity markets which have been rising on diminished volume with
mechanical flows positive. May see an increase in volatility Wed post vix
expiration and ahead of the Thurs ceasefire discussion. Premarket MAGS are
strong and the lagging software sector is higher again with ORCL, the
despised/shorted name rising like lazaris for another day. AI related names
continue to be in favor with optical, memory, infrastructure and semi bid.
Specialty semi (CRDO), Energy (BE), infrastructure (CRWV, IREN, NBIS) are all
AI related names with higher short interest and potentially weak fundamentals
and suggests that either shorts are covering or BTD with confidence that
everything is good for AI spending. Other speculative sectors with strength are
space related and bitcoin related. USA liquidity has improved which has lifted
equity but note Wed USA taxes due is normally negative for liquidity and
combined with Vix expiration may lead to softness absent an actual positive
change in the middle east situation. SPX, QQQ are at the call wall which can
reduce upside movement. IV has fallen substantially which has lifted equity but
reduces movement but can lead to a larger move on a geopolitical event.
Financials have had mixed reactions with JPM having ok results but cutting
guidance citing geopolitical, energy, trade uncertainty. Watch for reaction
today, GS bounced Mon after a dip. ASML is reporting after the close and will
add some color to semi equipment spending and TSM Thurs BMO.
•
Stock NFLX SNDK MRVL OXY NVDA MU GOOGL Speculative VG NBIS
Indices ETHE UFO SLV IBIT ARKK IGV SMH
QTUM GDX MAGS IWM /CL UNG USO XLE US$ XLF
S&P500 ORCL LUV HOOD WDC UAL COIN F VRT SMCI SNDK DAL STX COHR MU
WFC HPQ DELL MO OXY
Other CRDO BE CRWV IREN CRCL AAOI ASTS
RKLB NVO NBIS IONQ BTI
RVMD VG XPEV
AIPO
AIPO is an AI Power ETF with top holding Vertiv, Quanta, GE Vernova, and Eaton. It’s had a big move so best to look for a pullback but seems like AI is still the bright shiny object and traders are looking for something other than NVDA. A name to checkout is Modine which has had some large dark pool and leap option buys and is an alternative to VRT
