Swing Trade Ideas – October 1, 2026
Date: Oct 1, 2026
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing ** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
** ‘Y’ – year
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong –Neutral set-up
- Commodities: Gold, Silver, Copper, Palladium, Oil, natgas, Gasoline AGGS, Bitcoin
- Yields: 30Y Bond +0.12% Currencies: USA$+0.34% CAD -0.11% YEN -0.5% BTC/USD+0.41% Vix:17.7
- Events USA: ISM mfg PMI 10ET
- Stock News ACN+18% MU-1% Earnings CTVA -81%
Comments USA higher to start Q4 led shockingly by AI/semi with MU beating the clown estimates and guiding higher as AI spending using borrowed capital will go to infinity and beyond. MU is lower post the report but the rest of group is higher with semi equipment names like LRCX AMAT higher as MU will keep expanding production until the usual glut ends the cycle. ACN +18% as consulting business has not been destroyed by AI and IBM higher in sympathy, likely some short covering so can move in either direction once the market opens. MAGS are led by GOOGL which released Gemini Argon and ergo worth a bounce despite employees skeptical of its performance. Other MAGS exAAPL are higher as PMs crowd into an increasingly narrowing market with 21% of S&P500 above 50sma and IWM at the 200sma. AAPL tends to move inverse to the MAGS. Yields and US$ continue to rise and are the wrecking ball to the bond market, and the real economy (financials, industrials, retail). ISM mfg data at 10ET may move yields. Oil remains elevated but diesel is now the hot button because it cant be manipulated by jawboning. Discussion that USA may reduce exports to cut domestic prices would be negative for USA refiners and harmful for the global economy. GOP election prospects are not fantastic so its a possibility. SPX 7700 is the largest 0DTE position which is the upside pivot and 7666 is the zero gamma level where selling can accelerate. First of the month is usually bullish due to pension funds buying but rotation and repositioning can affect the market cap weighted index.
Stock GOOGL ACN IBM LRCX MU AAPL Speculative NU RKLB
Indices USO ETHE DRAM IGV SLV XLK SMH QQQ AIPO ARKK GLD QTUM UNG TLT KRE XLE XLF FEZ
S&P500 ACN IBM MKC BE NOW GOOG AMAT LRCX AMAT ORCL HPE CTVA MRNA MU
Other GLUE NU RKLB RDW CRDO AXTI ASTS NBIS PATJ LUNR CIFR LQDA TTD CLSK
MU
MU is lower post earnings despite beat and positive guidance. 1050 is a major option position and can be used as a reference for whether the dippers will step in or whether the decay of calls can take MU down to 1000, which is the next major level and close to the expected move. Premarket low 1052