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  • Swing Trade Ideas – November 9, 2026

    Date: Nov 9, 2026

    Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:

    ** ‘div’ – dividend

    ** ‘m/m’ – month over month

    ** ‘y/y’ – year over year

    ** ‘Inven’ – inventories

    ** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing ** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative

    ** Underlined text – higher volume premarket

    ** ‘d’ – day

    ** ‘Y’ – year

    **govt – government

    Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative

    Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong –neutral  set-up

    • Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Copper,  Oil, natgas, Gasoline  AGGS,  Bitcoin
    • Yields: 30Y Bond +0.0%  Currencies:  USA$-0.41% CAD +0.2% YEN +0.35%  BTC/USD-1.86%  Vix:22.1
    • Events USA: 3Y bond auction; Fed speakers
      Stock News   CEG+2.9% KKR+1.3% B+2.3%    BRK-.4% MDAY-7.4%    Earnings  
       

    Comments USA indices pulled back overnight and bouncing premarket. Oil is lower after rising with  USA announcing Iran land blockade, striking Iran while Vance is leading negotiations but a Trump tweet that he wouldnt strike while negotiations were underway reversed. IMO it’s not remotely clear.  Meanwhile US$ lower is positive for precious metals, and equity in general until the next development in the middle east.  NVDA lower after allegations that Jensen had an affair with a Chinese agent but semis are only slightly lower. Positioning in indices and MAGS is skewed to puts with elevated IV so the bounce which began 2ET is mechanical and what will be important is whether there is continuation past 10ET. MAGS MSFT AMZN GOOGL META are short term technically extended so take care chasing.  GS reports that Hedge fund long/short exposure  is the lowest since Covid and global AI the largest 20d HF selling in 5y. So question is whether the funds are going to reload or whether bounces are opportunities to sell. SPX 0DTE 7400 is the key pivot level with targets 7500 and 7300. The indices are positioned with negative gamma which means outsized moves in either direction are to be expected. No major data today ahead of CPI Tues with a couple of Fed speakers that may move markets. Volatility is positioned for either a vol explosion or a sharp rebound, one should be prepared for either outcome.

    Stock  AMD AMZN META GOOGL   NVDA CRWV COIN  Speculative  RKLB CRWV
    Indices EWT GDX UNG XME ARKQ EFA KRE SLX XLB XLV FEZ GLD  ETHE USO NUKZ KWEB IBIT DRAM SMH
    S&P500 AMD AMZN AVGO META GOOGL BE SNDK NVDA SMCI COIN
    Other  ASE UMC NVO SPCX RKLB TSM CRDO SOFI BMNR CRWV MSTR CRCL NBIS IONQ BABA





    TTWO

    TTWO reports after the close. Positioning is heavily skewed to calls with IV percentile 100%.  TTWO expected move is +/- 19.5

    The stock will be moving on the status of GTA 6 to be released in 10d and comments on preorders. TTWO has been a laggard due to delays in GTA 6 and traders are positioned for a successful launch. With IV elevated one can consider spread trades or diagonal trades to cover the launch date and take advantage of elevated IV.  IF the reaction is positive the potential move higher is to 250+. It looks well supported at 200. Note this is a risky binary event.

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