Swing Trade Idea – September 26, 2022
Color Key: Positive – Negative – Neutral Market Setup Market Setup- Pre 830ET •Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Bearish global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals •Yields: Yields higher •US$ +.53% EUR -.38% YEN -.57% GBP -.78% •News: USA: Mester 16ET; Powell and Durable goods pre-market […]
Swing Trade Idea – September 23, 2022
Color Key: Positive – Negative – Neutral Market Setup- Pre 830ET •Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Bearish global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals •Yields: Yields higher •US$ +.87% EUR -.89% YEN -.27% GBP -1.94% •News: USA: Services/Flash PMI 945ET, Powell 14ET Europe: Weak PMIs below […]
Swing Trade Idea – September 22, 2022
Color Key: Positive – Negative – Neutral Market Setup- Pre 830ET •Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Bearish global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals •Yields: Yields higher •US$ +.34% EUR -.43% YEN +1.2% GBP -.4% •News: USA: UE Claims 830ET, CB leading index, FOMC dot plot […]
Swing Trade Idea – September 21, 2022
Color Key: Positive – Negative – Neutral Market Setup Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals •Yields: Yields lower •US$ +.4% EUR -.51% YEN -.32% GBP +.24% •News: USA: FOMC rate decision 14ET Russia: Mobilizes more troops •Stocks: GIS +2% […]
Swing Trade Idea – September 20, 2022
Color Key: Positive – Negative – Neutral Market Setup •Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Bearish global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals •Yields: Yields higher •US$ +.04% EUR -.06% YEN -.2% GBP +.26% Swiss 0% •News: USA: Building permits, housing starts 830ET Europe: Lagarde 13ET, Sweden […]
Swing Trade Idea – September 19, 2022
Color Key: Positive – Negative – Neutral Market Setup Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Bearish global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals •Yields: Yields higher •US$ +.22% EUR -.17% YEN -.45% GBP -.31% Swiss -.17% •News: USA: Biden will defend Taiwan,NAHB housing 10ET Europe: Bundesbank warned […]
Swing Trade Idea – September 16, 2022
Color Key: Positive – Negative – Neutral Market Setup Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Bearish global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals •Yields: Yields flat •US$ +.29% EUR +.38% YEN +1.2% GBP -.44% Swiss +.61% •News: USA: UofM Consumer Sentiment, Inflation Expec 10ET Europe: CPI 9.1% […]
Swing Trade Idea – September 15, 2022
Market Setup Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral-Bearish global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals •Yields: Yields higher •US$ -.01% EUR +.09% YEN -.26% GBP -.3% Swiss +.63% •News: USA: Retail Sales, Empire State Mfg, Philly Fed, UE claims 830ET Europe: French CPI .5% vs 0.4% […]
Swing Trade Idea – September 14, 2022
Market Setup Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral-Bearish global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals •Yields: Yields higher •US$ -.5% EUR +.15% YEN +.76% GBP +.42% •News: USA: PPI Europe: Industrial production -2.3% vs -1.1% Japan: Machinery Orders 5.3% vs -0.6% Jawboning Yen UK: CPI 6.3% […]
Swing Trade Idea – September 13, 2022
Market Setup USA CPI print was hotter than expectations and markets are reacting with equity indices moving lower, US$ higher. Higher beta stocks, high short interest names, and commodities linked to the US$ (e.g. miners) are expected to underperform. FAANGMT stocks are important to watch today due to the market weighting. •Stocks to watch: TSLA […]
Swing Trade Idea – September 9, 2022
Market Setup- Pre830 Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Bullish global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals •Yields: Yields lower •US$ -.72% EUR +.59% YEN +1.15% GBP +.6% •News: Europe: EU Energy ministers meeting USA: George, Waller Fedheads speaking China: CPI 2.5% Y-Y vs 2.8% PPI 2.3% […]
Swing Trade Idea – September 8, 2022
Market Setup- Pre ECB and Powell Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals •Yields: Yields lower •US$ -.43% EUR +.41% YEN +.45% GBP +.46% •News: Europe: Monetary statement 815ET; USA: Powell 910ET •Stocks: BILI -8% earnings; ASAN +23% beat and […]
Swing Trade Idea – September 07, 2022
Market Setup- Pre830 Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals •Yields: Yields lower •US$ +.45% EUR -.24% YEN -1.4% GBP -.85% •News: Europe: GDP 0.8% vs 0.6%; USA: 4 FED speakers Brainard 1235ET Beige Book 14ET Canada: Rate statement 10ET […]
Swing Trade Idea – September 6, 2022
Market Setup- Pre NonFarm payrolls Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals •Yields: Yields higher •US$ +.38% EUR -.45% YEN -1.28% GBP +.5% •News: Europe: Service PMI 49.8 vs 50.2, ECB rate decision Thurs Energy: Nordstream still down; OPEC small […]
Swing Trade Idea – September 2, 2022
Market Setup- Pre NonFarm payrolls Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals •Yields: Yields neutral •US$ -.30% EUR +.53% CAD .23% •News: USA: Non-farm payroll 830ET, UE rate Europe: PPI 4% vs 2.5% Energy: Nordtream expected to resume tomorrow, OPEC+ […]
Swing Trade Idea – September 01, 2022
Market Setup- Pre 8am Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Negative global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals •Yields: Yields higher •US$ +.40% EUR -.43% CAD -.30% •News: USA: UE claims 830ET, ISM PMI , construction spending 10ET Europe: German retail sales 1.9% vs -1.1% German MFG […]
Swing Trade Idea – August 31, 2022
Market Setup- Pre ADP Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals •Yields: Yields higher •US$ +.21% EUR -.26% Swissie -.65% •News: USA: ADP 830ET, Chicago PMI 9:45, 3 FED heads Europe: Natgas pause to Germany China: MFG PMI still < […]
Swing Trade Idea – August 29, 2022
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Negative global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals •Yields: Yields higher •US$ -.06% EUR +.25% JPY -.89% •News: USA: Brainard 2:15ET; Powell “pain •Stocks: PDD potential CTLT -guidance •General: Leading: China Internet Lagging: Bitcoin Ark Solar Gold Miners Semis •Indices: USA […]
Swing Trade Idea – August 26, 2022
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals •Yields: Yields higher •US$ -.10% EUR +.25% JPY -.38% •News: USA: 830ET PCE; 10ET Powell, UofM Consumer Sentiment and inflation expectations Europe: German Consumer Sentiment new lows Japan: CPI 2.6% vs 2.5% Oil: […]
Swing Trade Idea – August 25, 2022
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals •Yields: Yields flat •US$ -.24% EUR +.1% JPY +.44% GBP +.36% •News: USA: GDP 830ET, UE claims, Jackson Hole Begins; Student $10k loan forgiveness and extension of repayment Europe: German GDP 0.1% vs […]
Swing Trade Idea – August 24, 2022
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals •Yields: Yields flat •US$ +.28% EUR -.36% JPY +.1% GBP -.39% •News: USA: Durable goods 830ET; Pending home sales 10ET; Crude Inv 1030ET Oil: Saudi minister suggested production cut •Stocks: BBBY +30% WSJ- […]
Swing Trade Idea – August 23, 2022
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals •Yields: Yields lower •US$ -.03% EUR -.07% JPY +.12% GBP +.18% •News: Europe: Mixed PMI most < 50 UK: MFG PMI 46 vs 51 Service PMI: 52.5 vs 51.5 USA: PMI 945ET; New […]
Swing Trade Idea – August 22, 2022
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Negative global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals •Yields: Yields lower •US$ +.22% EUR -.29% JPY -.01% GBP -.08% •News: Europe: Gazprom cutting natgas shipment for 3d at EOM raising European inflation concerns China: 5bp cut in prime •Stocks: SGFY +38% […]
Swing Trade Idea – August 19, 2022
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Negative global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals •Yields: Yields higher •US$ +.47% EUR -.4% JPY -.75% GBP -.78% •News: Europe: German PPI +5.3% vs 0.7% GBP retail sales .3% vs -0.2% •Stocks: BBBY -41%; FL +21% beat, Hired CEO; AMAT […]
Swing Trade Idea – August 18, 2022
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral/Positive global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals •Yields: Yields lower •US$ -.02% EUR -.03% JPY +.26% AUD +0.33% •News: USA: Philly Fed, UE claims 830ET Europe: CPI Y-Y 8.9% •Stocks: BBBY -8% Ryan Cohen selling entire stake; KSS -7.5% deep […]
Swing Trade Idea – August 17, 2022
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Negative global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals •Yields: Yields higher •US$ +.24% EUR -.08% JPY -.7% GBP -.11% CAD -0.46% •News: USA: Retail Sales 830ET, FOMC Minutes 14ET Europe: GDP Q/Q 0.6% vs 0.7%, Employment Q/Q 0.3% vs 0.4% UK […]
Swing Trade Idea – August 16, 2022
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Positive global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals •Yields: Yields higher •US$ +.38% EUR -.31% JPY -.32% GBP -.32% CAD -0.03% •News: USA: Building Permits 830ET Europe: Econ Sentiment -55 vs -52.7 Canada: CPI 830ET •Stocks: WMT +4% beat; 2023 earnings […]
Swing Trade Idea – August 15, 2022
Market Setup: •Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Negative global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals •Yields: Yields lower •US$ +.58% EUR -.69% JPY +.27% GBP -.46% CAD -1.1% •News: USA: Empire State 830ET China: Retail Sales 2.7% vs 5%; Industrial Production y/y 3.8% vs 4.5% Rate […]
Swing Trade Idea – August 11, 2022
Market Setup: Pre FOMC •Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Positive global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals •Yields: Yields lower •US$ -.18% EUR +.17% JPY +.37% GBP -.19% •News: USA: PPI, UE claims 830ET Oil: IEA forecast supply tightness, EIA-inventories +5.5MB last week •Stocks: DIS +9% […]
Swing Trade Idea – August 10, 2022
Market Setup: Pre FOMC •Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Mixed global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals •Yields: Yields higher and steeper •US$ -.35% EUR +.42% JPY +.21% GBP +.33% •News: USA: CPI 830ET, Inventories 10ET, Crude Inventories 1030ET China: CPI 2.7% vs 2.9%, PPI 4.2% […]
Swing Trade Idea – August 9, 2022
Market Setup: Pre FOMC •Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Weak global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals •Yields: Yields higher and steeper •US$ -.19% EUR +.3% JPY -.17% GBP +.19% •News: USA: nonfarm productivity, unit labor costs 830ET Europe: Ukraine pipeline company stopped pumping Russian oil […]
Swing Trade Idea – August 8, 2022
Market Setup: Pre FOMC •Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Positive global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals •Yields: Yields lower and flatter •US$ -.28% EUR +.2% JPY +.2% AUD +.98% •News: USA: Inflation Reduction Act passed by Senate, House next. Alternate energy getting a further bid […]
Swing Trade Idea – August 5, 2022
Market Setup: Pre FOMC Note: Non-farm payroll was stronger than expected. Impact: US$ higher, bonds lower, equities lower, commodities lower. Caution advised if SPY < 407. •Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Positive global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals •Yields: Yields lower and flatter •US$ -.27% […]
Swing Trade Idea – August 4, 2022
Market Setup •Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Positive global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals •Yields: Yields lower and flatter •US$ -.27% EUR +.34% JPY -.03% AUD +.58% •News: USA: UE claims, Job cuts 830ET, China: Europe: GB Bailey speaking •Stocks: BABA +4% EPS beat (China […]
Swing Trade Idea – August 03, 2022
Market Setup •Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals •Yields: Yields higher and steeper •US$ -.02% EUR +.13% JPY -.3% AUD -.04% •News: USA: ISM Services PMI 10ET, Factory Orders 10ET China: Caixin Services PMI 55.5 vs 54 Europe: Services […]
Swing Trade Idea – August 01, 2022
Market Setup •Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals •Yields: Yields higher and steeper •US$ -.35% EUR +.22% JPY +.66% •News: USA: ISM mfg, Construction Spendinf 10ET Europe: German retail sales -1.6%, MFG PMI 49.8 vs 49.6 China: Caixin Mfg […]
Swing Trade Idea – July 28, 2022
Market Setup •Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Weak global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals (Aluminum Copper Nickel Palladium Platinum Zinc) •Yields: Yields higher and steeper •US$ +.4% Eur +.72% GBP -.4% CAD +.12% •News: USA: GDP 830ET; UE claims •Stocks: META -4.7% miss ; QCOM […]
Swing Trade Idea – July 27, 2022
Market Setup •Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Positive global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals (Aluminum Copper Nickel Palladium Platinum Zinc) •Yields: Yields lower and flatter •US$ -.16% Eur +.2% GBP +.3% CAD +.25% •News: USA: Durable goods 830ET, Pending home sales 10ET, FOMC 14ET Europe: […]
Swing Trade Idea – July 25, 2022
Market Setup •Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals (Aluminum Copper Nickel Palladium Platinum Zinc) •Yields: Yields lower and flatter •US$ -.44% Eur .5% GBP +.8% CAD +.44% •News: USA: Dallas Fed mfg index 930ET Europe: German Biz Sentiment 88.6 […]
Swing Trade Idea – July 22, 2022
Market Setup •Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals (Aluminum Copper Nickel Palladium Platinum Zinc) •Yields: Yields lower and flatter •US$ +.13% Eur -.3% •News: USA: Service and MFG PMI 9:45ET Europe: MFG PMI 49.2 and Services PMI 50.6 miss […]
Swing Trade Idea – July 20, 2022
Market Setup •Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Negative global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals (Aluminum Copper Nickel Palladium Platinum Zinc) •Yields: Yields lower and flatter •US$ +.34% Euro -.48% •News: USA: Home sales 10am Europe: Nat gas supply concerns China : Macau to reopen casinos […]
Swing Trade Idea – July 18, 2022
Market Setup •Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Positive global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals (Aluminum Copper Nickel Palladium Platinum Zinc) •Yields: Yields higher and steeper •US$ -.57% Euro .6% GBP .9% •News: USA: Waller and Bullard talked Fed increase down to 75bps Europe: ECB expected […]
Swing Trade Idea – July 15, 2022
Market Setup •Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Mixed global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals (Aluminum Copper Nickel Palladium Platinum Zinc) •Yields: Yields lower •US$ -.2% Euro .2% Cad .2% •News: USA: Retail Sales 830ET Empire State Mfg 830ET UofM Consumer Sentiment/Inflation Sentiment 10ET China: GDP […]
Swing Trade Idea – July 14, 2022
Market Setup •Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Weak global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals (Aluminum Copper Nickel Palladium Platinum Zinc) •Yields: Yields higher post CPI •US$ +.7% Euro -.57% Yen -1.15% Cad -1.33% •News: USA: PPI 830ET UE claims Waller 11ET Japan : Ind Prod […]
Swing Trade Idea – July 13, 2022
Market Setup •Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Mixed global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals (Aluminum Copper Nickel Palladium Platinum Zinc) •Yields: Yields unchanged ahead of CPI •US$ -.08% Euro +.09% Yen -.2% •News: USA: CPI 830ET 1.1% m/m expected; 30yr bond auction 13ET Europe: German, […]
Swing Trade Idea – July 12, 2022
Market Setup •Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Negative global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals (Aluminum Copper Nickel Palladium Platinum Zinc) •Yields: Yields lower •US$ +.1% Euro -.16% •News: USA: 10Y Auction 1300ET Barkin 1130ET Europe: ZEW econ sentiment -51 vs -32 Japan: PPI 9.2% vs […]
Swing Trade Idea – July 8, 2022
Market Setup •Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields unch 2-10yr yield curve inverted •US$ neutral: YEN+ Euro •News: USA: Non-farm payroll 830ET Williams 11ET Europe: Lagarde 755ET Canada: Employment 830ET Stocks: UPST […]
Swing Trade Idea – July 7, 2022
Market Setup •Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Positive global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields higher •US$ Lower: YEN Euro+ GBP + CAD+ Swissie – •News: USA: UE claims 830ET, Bullard/Waller 13ET Europe: ECB policy meeting UK: Boris Johnson […]
Swing Trade Idea – July 6, 2022
Market Setup •Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Negative global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields unch 2-10yr yield curve inverted •US$ Higher: YEN+ Euro- GBP – CAD Swissie – •News: USA: Williams 9ET Services PMI 945ET Jolts ISM Services […]
Swing Trade Idea – July 05, 2022
Market Setup •Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Negative global set-up •Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields lower and flatter; •US$ Higher: YEN- Euro- GBP – CAD – Swissie – •News: USA: Factory orders 10ET Europe: German trade balance -1B vs […]