Swing Trade Insights

Swing Trade Idea – January 27, 2022

Market Setup  •Global markets are mixed with USA green, Europe green, Japan red, Hong Kong red, China red, Asia mixed •Yields pulling back after a spike post FOMC •US dollar higher in premarket •News: USA GDP, durable goods, UE 830ET, pending home sales 10ET; •Stocks: TSLA  beat but delayed new models due to supply chain; […]

Swing Trade Idea – January 26, 2022

Market Setup  •Global markets are generally strong with USA green, Europe green, Japan green, Hong Kong green, China green, Asia mixed •Yields unchanged •US dollar higher in premarket •News: BOC statement 11ET; FOMC 1400ET; •Stocks: MSFT raised guidance with cloud; TXN guidance raise; GLW beat; MAT DIS deal; BA miss due to 787 delays •Indices: […]

Swing Trade Idea – January 25, 2022

Market Setup  •Global markets are generally weak with USA red, Europe green, Japan red, Hong Kong red, China red, Asia mixed •Yields higher from Mon close but rising in the premarket •US dollar higher in premarket •News: Twin memes of Fed meeting Wed and Russia/Ukraine USA: Business Confidence 10ET; German business confidence higher •Stocks: AJRD […]

Swing Trade Idea – January 24, 2022

Market Setup  Global markets are generally weak with USA red, Europe red, Japan green, Hong Kong red, China red, Asia red Yields falling in premarket and curve flattening – usually supportive to growth US dollar and Gold Higher – risk off signal News: Bitcoin sharply lower with risk of spillover to risk stocks. Russia CB […]

Swing Trade Idea – January 21, 2022

Market Setup  •Global markets are generally weak with USA red, Europe red, Japan red, Hong Kong red, China green, Asia red •Yields falling in premarket and curve flattening – usually supportive to growth •US dollar lower compared to Euro which hints that fear is not high; •News: USA-Ukraine meme du jour; Lagarde speaking; UK retail […]

Swing Trade Idea – January 20, 2022

Market Setup Global markets are generally positive with USA green, Europe green, Japan red, Hong Kong green, China green, Asia mixed Yields falling in premarket providing support for tech and speculative stocks US dollar higher versus all currencies except Aussie News: USA: Philly Fed, UE claims 830ET, existing home sales 10ET, Crude inventories 11ET; China: […]

Swing Trade Idea – January 19, 2022

Market Setup  Global markets are generally positive with USA green, Europe green, Japan red, Hong Kong green, China green, Asia mixed Yields slightly lower and a flattening in the yield curve is providing relief to tech US dollar down .23% is positive for equities and commodities News: UK: relaxing Covid restrictions;  German 10yr yield above […]

Swing Trade Idea – January 18, 2022

Market Setup  •Global markets are weak with USA red, Europe red, Japan red, Hong Kong red, China green(mainland), Asia red •Yields higher and steeper negative for tech •US dollar higher usually negative •News: USA: Empire mfg 830ET; China: GDP 4% vs 3.3%, Retail sales 1.7% vs 3.8%; Germany: ZEW 49% vs 29%; •Stocks: GS missed; […]

Swing Trade Idea – January 14, 2022

Market Setup – Pre Retail Sales report •Global markets are red with USA red, Europe red, Japan red, Hong Kong red, China red, Asia red •Yield curve slightly steeper tends to be negative for tech •US dollar slightly higher •News: USA:Retail sales 8:15 ET, Industrial production 9:15ET, Consumer sentiment 10ET UK: GDP higher than expectations […]

Swing Trade Idea – January 13, 2022

Market Setup – Pre CPI report •Global markets are mixed with USA mixed, Europe mixed, Japan red, Hong Kong green, China red, Asia mixed •Yield curve slightly steeper – Long yields are a must watch today with PPI data release •US dollar lower – usually positive for commodities however they are generally weak •News: USA:UE […]

Swing Trade Idea – January 12, 2022

Market Setup – Pre CPI report •Global markets are positive with USA green, Europe green, Japan green, Hong Kong green, China green, Asia green •Yield curve slightly steeper – Long yields are a must watch today with CPI data release •US dollar higher c.f. Euro but lower c.f. CAD •News: USA: CPI release 830ET Consensus […]

Swing Trade Idea – January 11, 2022

Market Setup •Global markets are positive with USA green, Europe green, Japan green, Hong Kong green, China red, Asia mixed •Yield curve slightly flatter – Long yields are a must watch today as drop Monday led to the market recovery •US dollar slightly lower c.f. Euro •News: FED: Powell confirmation hearing with Senate Banking Cmtte; […]

Swing Trade Idea – January 10, 2022

Market Setup •Global markets are mixed with USA red, Europe red, Japan red, Hong Kong green, China red, Asia mixed •Yield curve slightly flatter •US dollar higher •News: Covid: UK new infections peaking, China mass testing port city Tianjin after 2 cases;  Kazakstan order restored stabilizing oil supplies and perhaps improving bitcoin has rate; JPM […]

Swing Trade Idea – January 7, 2022

Market Setup Note: written pre FOMC •Global markets are mixed with USA mixed, Europe red, Japan red, Hong Kong green, China green, Asia green •Yield curve unchanged •US dollar lower •News: USA: non-farm payroll and UE rate 830ET – major market mover; Europe: Industrial production missed, CPI higher than expectation •Stocks: Samsung revenue better than […]

Swing Trade Idea – January 06, 2022

Market Setup • Global markets are mixed with USA mixed, Europe red, Japan red, Hong Kong green, China red, Asia red • Yield curve continues to steepen, positive for financials, negative for expensive tech • US dollar flat, yen higher swiss franc lower – implies that fear not strong • News: USA: Market negative reaction […]

Swing Trade Idea – January 05, 2022

Market Setup Global markets are mixed with USA mixed, Europe green, Japan green, Hong Kong red, China green, Asia mixed Yield curve slightly flatter with long bonds rising US dollar lower, usually positive for commodities News: USA:ADP employment 8:15ET FOMC minutes 1400ET; European service PMIs mixed; China: Regulator fined tech giants; BYND – YUM deal; […]

Swing Trade Idea – January 04, 2022

Market Setup Global markets are mixed with USA green, Europe green, Japan green, Hong Kong green, China red, Asia mixed Yield curve steeper with long yields higher, usually positive for financials and reflation stocks US dollar higher usually not positive for commodities. S&P has been correlated with the US dollar recently News: Europe, China, Japan: […]

Swing Trade Idea – January 3, 2022

Market Setup Global markets are mixed with USA green, Europe green, Japan green, Hong Kong red, China green, Asia green Yield curve steeper with long yields higher, usually positive for financials and reflation stocks US dollar higher usually not positive for commodities. S&P has been correlated with the US dollar recently News: Markets closed in […]

Swing Trade Idea – December 30, 2021

Market Setup •Global markets are mixed with USA green, Europe remixed, Japan green, Hong Kong green, China green, Asia mixed •Yield curve slightly flatter •US dollar  slightly higher •News: USA: UE claims 830ET Chicago PMI 945ET Natgas storage 1030ET; Spanish CPI 6.7% Y-Y; Putin/Biden speaking today. Putin says Nordstream 2 is ready to pump natgas […]

Swing Trade Idea – December 29, 2021

Market Setup •Global markets are mixed with USA mixed, Europe red, Japan red, Hong Kong red, China red, Asia mixed •Yield curve slightly steeper •US dollar  slightly positive •News: USA: Pending home sales 10ET, Crude Inventories 1030ET; China: BABA looking to sell stake in WB to a state owned company as China reducing influence of […]

Swing Trade Idea – December 28, 2021

Market Setup •Global markets are green with USA green, Europe green, Japan green, Hong Kong green, China green, Asia green •Yield curve slightly steeper •US dollar  slightly weaker •News: Japan: Industrial production+, CPI+; Crypto-  no news,  AU+ Oil+ no news; •Stocks: TSLA Wedbush upped target to 1400, Argus raise to 1313J; Needham target raise CIEN […]

Swing Trade Idea – December 27, 2021

Market Setup Global markets are mixed with USA mixed, Europe mixed, Japan red, Hong Kong closed, China red, Asia mixed Yield curve slightly flatter US dollar  stronger, usually negative for foreign stocks and commodities News: China: New guidelines for companies to list overseas.  Initial reaction negative;  USA: 1000 flights cancelled due to staffing shortages – […]

Swing Trade Idea – December 23, 2021

Market Setup Market Setup – Pre PCE report Global markets are green with USA green, Europe green, Japan green, Hong Kong green, China green, Asia green Yield curve slightly steeper US dollar higher relative to Euro and Yen News: USA: PCE, durable goods, personal income, UE claims 830 ET. US dollar/yields will move.  China:Locked down […]

Swing Trade Idea – December 22, 2021

Market Setup •Global markets are mixed with USA mixed, Europe flat, Japan flat, Hong Kong green, China flat, Asia green •Yield curve slightly flatter •US dollar lower relative to Euro and commodity currencies •Commodities mixed with strength in silver, softs, nat gas and palladium •News: USA: GDP premarket, Consumer Confidence 10ET, Oil inventories 1030 ET; […]

Swing Trade Idea – December 21, 2021

Market Setup Global markets are strong with global indices positive Yields higher and steeper – usually positive for financials, small caps and cyclicals US dollar lower relative to Euro and commodity currencies Commodities mixed with strength in oil, copper and palladium News: USA: Build Back Better Plan pushed to 2022;  Europe: Power prices popping on […]

Swing Trade Idea – December 20, 2021

Market Setup •Global markets are weak with USA red, Europe red, Japan red, Hong Kong red, China red, Asia red •Yields slightly lower across the curve •US dollar slightly lower relative to Euro but higher relative to commodity currencies •Commodities broadly lower led by oil with natgas an exception •News: USA: Build Back Better Plan […]

Swing Trade Idea – December 17, 2021

Market Setup •Global markets are weak with USA red, Europe red, Japan red, Hong Kong red, China red, Asia red •Yield curve flattening in premarket with long yields rising. Supportive for growth but also a risk-off signal •US dollar weak relative to Yen and Swiss Franc = risk-off signal •News: Europe: German PPI m/m < […]

Swing Trade Idea – December 16, 2021

Market Setup •Global markets are strong with USA green, Europe green, Japan green, Hong Kong green, China green, Asia green •Yield curve steeper with long yields higher, positive for financials and small caps •US dollar weaker relative to major currencies •News: UK: BOE raised rates by 15 basis points; Europe: ECB tapering bond purchases; USA: […]

Swing Trade Idea – December 15, 2021

Market Setup •Global markets are mixed with USA mixed, Europe mixed, Japan green, Hong Kong red, China red, Asia red •Yield curve steeper with long yields higher, positive for financials •US dollar weaker relative to Pound and Aussie •News: China: Retail sales missed Y-Y, Investment in fixed assets lowest in 2 yrs; UK: CPI,PPI exceeded; […]

Swing Trade Idea – December 14, 2021

Market Setup •Global markets are mixed with USA mixed, Europe mixed, Japan red, Hong Kong red, China red, Asia red •Yield curve steeper with long yields higher, positive for financials •US dollar weaker relative to Euro and Pound •News: USA: PPI 0.8% vs 0.5%; Europe: Industrial production m-m 1.1% missed; Omicron: China reported new case; […]

Swing Trade Idea – December 13, 2021

Market Setup •Global markets are mixed with USA mixed, Europe green, Japan green, Hong Kong red, China green, Asia mixed •Yield curve flatter with long yields lower, positive for growth stocks not for financials •US dollar stronger relative to most currencies •News: Meme that Omicron is less dangerous however concern that govts will restrict; Meme […]

Swing Trade Idea – December 10, 2021

Market Setup •Global markets are mixed with USA mixed, Europe red, Japan red, Hong Kong red, China red, Asia mixed •Yield curve steeper with long yields rising, benefits financials •US dollar stronger relative to yen •News: USA: CPI 8:30ET, Consumer sentiment 10ET; Japan: PPI 9% Y-Y; GB: GDP 0.1% weak macro data •Stocks:  Earnings:  CHWY […]

Swing Trade Idea – December 9, 2021

Market Setup •Global markets are mixed with USA red, Europe red, Japan red, Hong Kong green, China green, Asia mixed •Yield curve flatter with long yields rising •US dollar stronger, Yen stronger •News: USA: UE claims premarket , 10yr bond auction; China: Evergrande, Kaisa cut to default by Fitch, China CPI below expectations PPI above; […]

Swing Trade Idea – December 8, 2021

Market Setup •Global markets are mixed with USA green, Europe red, Japan green, Hong Kong flat, China green, Asia Green •Yield curve unchanged •US dollar unchanged •News: Covid: meme that Omicron less harmful continues; UK potential social distance restrictions; Macro: JP GDP slowing; BOC statement 10ET, USA Jolts &10y auction today, China CPI tonight; Stocks:  […]

Swing Trade Idea – December 7, 2021

Market Setup •Global markets are green with all major indices higher on short covering. May continue to trend but handle with care •Yield curve slightly steeper with longer duration rates falling •US dollar higher compared to Euro, commodity currencies bouncing •News: Covid: meme that Omicron less harmful continues Stocks: INTC spinning out Mobileye; MDB earnings […]

Swing Trade Idea – December 06, 2021

Market Setup •Global markets are mixed with USA mixed, Europe green, Japan red, Hong Kong red, China red, Asia mixed •Yield curve steeper with long rates rising faster than short – usually good for financials and cyclicals •US dollar slightly higher relative to Euro •News: China: PBOC easing as Evergrande approaches default – China stocks […]

Swing Trade Idea – December 3, 2021

Market Setup •Global markets are mixed with USA green, Europe green, Japan green, Hong Kong green, China red, Asia mixed •Yield curve flatter with longer duration rates rising •US dollar lower compared to Euro •News: Covid: Omicron more transmissible and affecting all age groups: USA: Jobs report 830ET; DIDI delisting from NYSE affecting other Chinese […]

Swing Trade Idea – December 2, 2021

Market Setup •Global markets are mixed with USA mixed, Europe red, Japan red, Hong Kong green, China green, Asia mixed •Yield curve flatter with longer duration rates rising •US dollar lower compared to Euro •News: Covid: Omicron in USA but no evidence it is worse than Delta USA: UE claims premarket, multiple Fed heads speaking […]

Swing Trade Idea – December 1, 2021

Market Setup •Global markets are strong with most world indices rebounding post MRNA press and Powell comments •Yield curve steeper with longer duration rates rising •US dollar lower compared to commodity currencies and pound. Usually positive for commodities and equities News: Covid: Israel reporting that vaccines are working with Omicron and SA is not seeing […]

Swing Trade Idea – November 30, 2021

Market Setup •Global markets are weak with USA red, Europe red, Japan red, Hong Kong red, China red, Asia red •Yield curve steeper with longer duration rates rising •US dollar lower relative to yen and Euro News: Covid Omicron concerns are back as the virus spreads and MRNA CEO predicted a material drop in vaccine […]

Swing Trade Idea – November 29, 2021

Market Setup •Global markets are mixed with USA green, Europe green, Japan green, Hong Kong red, China green, Asia mixed •Yield curve steeper with longer duration rates rising •US dollar higher relative to yen and Euro News: Markets bouncing on  info from SA that Omicron symptoms are mild and vaccines are working or the usual […]

Swing Trade Idea – November 26, 2021

Market Setup •Global markets are weak with USA red, Europe red, Japan red, Hong Kong red, China red, Asia red •Yield curve flatter and shifted higher as bonds are bid •US dollar lower and bid to Yen and Swissie News: Covid: new variant detected in S Africa-uncertainty on vaccine effectiveness. Europe cases rising; China: CCP […]

Swing Trade Idea – November 24, 2021

Market Setup •Global markets are weak with USA red, Europe red, Japan red, Hong Kong green, China green, Asia red •Yield curve unchanged but long yields very active overnight •US dollar higher – raising issues in countries like Turkey News: Covid: Cases rising in Korea, Europe and USA; USA: Prelim GSP, UE claims, durable goods […]

Swing Trade Idea – November 23, 2021

Market Setup  •Global markets are mixed with USA mixed, Europe red, Japan red, Hong Kong red, China red, Asia mixed •Yield curve steeper with long yields rising, usually benefits financials •US dollar higher – raising issues in countries like Turkey News: Europe: PMIs exceeded expectations;  USA: PMIs after the open; USA releasing oil from SPR; […]

Swing Trade Idea – November 22, 2021

Market Setup  •Global markets are mixed with USA green, Europe mixed, Japan green, Hong Kong red, China green, Asia mixed •Yield curve steeper with long yields rising, usually benefits financials •US dollar higher News: China: Hinted it will ease; Covid Fears: Cases rising in Europe; Oil: Japan potential reserve release; USA: Report that Fed Chair […]

Swing Trade Idea – November 19, 2021

Market Setup  •Global markets are weak with USA mixed, Europe red, Japan red, Hong Kong red, China green, Asia red •Yield curve sharply flatter with a spike down in the 30yr yield •US dollar sharply higher Interpretation: Markets are set-up classically defensive with US dollar & Yen higher, long yield down and FAANGM stocks bid. […]

Swing Trade Idea – November 18, 2021

Market Setup  •Global markets are weak with USA mixed, Europe red, Japan red, Hong Kong red, China red, Asia red •Yield curve flatter with long rates rising •US dollar lower •News: USA: Philly mfg and UE claims premarket; Several Fed heads speaking; Oil: USA requesting countries to release reserves •Stocks: NVDA beat and big spike, […]

Swing Trade Idea – November 17, 2021

Market Setup  •Global markets are slightly weak with USA outperforming. •Yield curve steepening in the premarket with 30yr rising, tends to favor financials •US dollar unchanged •News: Japan: Machine orders missed; Europe: CPI 4.1% Y-Y expected; USA: Housing starts premarket; pile of Fed heads speaking; Powell vs Brainard decision this week; UK rate hike meme […]

Swing Trade Idea – November 16, 2021

Market Setup  •Global markets are mixed with USA green, Japan green, Europe green, Hong Kong green, China green and Asia mixed. •Yield curve flatter •US dollar higher but commodities rising on inflation concerns •News: USA: Retail sales premarket; XI-Biden talked •Stocks WMT beat and raised; HD beat; MARA EC probe; RIOT earnings miss; RIVN options […]

Swing Trade Idea – November 15, 2021

Market Setup  •Global markets are mixed with USA green, Japan green, Europe green, Hong Kong green, China red and Asia mixed. •Yield curve flatter •US dollar slightly lower •News: China: econ data better than expected; Japan: GDP miss; Biden-XI conference call tonight;  Dems voting on $2T social bill this week (maybe); Meme that Powell will […]

Top