Swing Trade Insights

Swing Trade Idea – June 24, 2022

Market Setup •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Strong  global set-up •Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields higher and steeper; •US$ lower: YEN- Swissie+ Euro+ GBP + CAD +  Note: US$ rising in premarket •News: USA: UofM Consumer Confidence, New Home […]

Swing Trade Idea – June 23, 2022

Market Setup •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Mixed  global set-up •Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields lower and flatter; •US$ higher: YEN+ Swissie- Euro- GBP – CAD – •News: USA: PMI 945ET; UE claims 830ET FOMC: Powell 10ET Europe: PMI […]

Swing Trade Idea – June 21, 2022

Market Setup •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Strong  global set-up •Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields lower and flatter •US$ lower: YEN- Swissie+ Euro+ GBP + CAD + •News: Europe: Kalingrad route block; FOMC: Bullard warned inflation risk; Mester and […]

Swing Trade Idea – June 17, 2022

Market Setup •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Weak  global set-up •Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields lower and flatter •US$ higher: YEN- Swissie+ Euro- GBP – CAD – •News: Japan: BOJ did not tighten -> YEN, USA rates –  Europe: […]

Swing Trade Idea – June 16, 2022

Market Setup pre-PPI •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Weak  global set-up •Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields higher and steeper; •US$ lower: YEN+ Swissie+ Euro+ •News: USA: Philly Mfg 830ET; UE claims; Housing Starts;   SNB: Raised 50bps and reverse […]

Swing Trade Idea – June 15, 2022

Market Setup pre-PPI •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Mixed  global set-up •Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields lower and flatter; •US$ lower •News: USA: Retail sales 830ET FOMC 1400ET  China: Industrial prod +.7% vs -1% Retail Sales -6.7% vs -7% […]

Swing Trade Idea – June 14, 2022

Market Setup pre-PPI •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Mixed  global set-up •Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields lower and flatter; however yield rising in premarket – will drive the equity market direction •US$ flat •News: USA: PPI 830ET .8% fct […]

Swing Trade Idea – June 13, 2022

Market Setup pre-CPI •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Weak  global set-up •Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields higher and steeper •US$ +.6% •News: China: Beijing cluster of Covid cases raising concerns of reopening – impacting commodities; Bitcoin: Celsius Network freezing […]

Swing Trade Idea – June 10, 2022

Market Setup pre-CPI •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Weak  global set-up •Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields lower and flatter •US$ +.3% •News: Europe: Lagarde 9:45ET; USA: CPI 830ET UofM Consumer Sentiment 10ET Canada:Employment report; China:New loans+ •Stocks: DOCU -24% […]

Swing Trade Idea – June 09, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Mixed  global set-up •Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields higher and curve steeper •US$ lower •News: Europe: Asset purchases end Jul1, 25bps increase Jul; inflation elevated; ECP press conf 830ET; USA: UE […]

Swing Trade Idea – June 8, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Mixed  global set-up •Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields higher and steeper •News: Rates: RBI rates +50bps, Poland +75bps;  ECB hawks want +50bps In July China: Regulators issued licenses for new video […]

Swing Trade Idea – June 7, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Mixed  global set-up •Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields slight lower •News: Aussie: RBA raised 50bps vs 25bps ; German factory orders -2.7% vs 0.4%;  Yellen speaking 10ET; SEC planning to force […]

Swing Trade Idea – June 06, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Bullish  global set-up •Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields slight lower •News: USA: Discussing reducing China tariffs but not steel and aluminum China: Caixin 41.4 vs 43; Ending probe into DIDI cybersecurity […]

Swing Trade Idea – June 3, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Mixed  global set-up •Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields slight lower •News: USA: Non-Farm Payrolls, UE rate; ISM services  Europe: Retail sales -1.3% vs 0.3%; Services PMI 56.1 vs 56.3 FED Brainard […]

Swing Trade Idea – June 2, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Mixed  global set-up •Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields lower and flatter •News: USA: Job Cuts 730 ET; ADP Jobs 815ET; Factory Orders 10ET  Europe: PPI 1.2% vs 2.3% China: Caixin 48.1 […]

Swing Trade Idea – June 1, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Mixed  global set-up •Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields higher and steeper •News: USA: ISM PMI, JOLTS 10ET;  Europe: German retail sales -5.4% vs -.5% EUR PMI ok China: Caixin 48.1 vs […]

Swing Trade Idea – May 31, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Mixed  global set-up •Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields higher and steeper •News: USA: Biden meeting with Powell on how to reduce inflation (keep tightening??) Europe: EU end imports of non-pipeline crude […]

Swing Trade Idea – May 27, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Mixed  global set-up •Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields lower and flatter •News: USA: PCE 830ET; Personal Spending FED: Bullard 735ET •Stocks: DELL beat;  ULTA beat and upgrade; PDD beat (Unaudited results […]

Swing Trade Idea – May 26, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Mixed  global set-up •Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields higher and steeper – yields rose at 6:30ET financials positive reaction •News: USA: GDP UE claims 830ET Home sales 10ET Canada: Retail Sales […]

Swing Trade Idea – May 25, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Bearish  global set-up •Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields lower and flatter •Macro: Higher US$ weighing on commodities and equities. Lower yields and higher US$ is risk-off set-up. •News: USA: Durable goods […]

Swing Trade Idea – May 24, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Mixed  global set-up •Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields lower and flatter •Macro: Lower US$ is the main driver of equity commodity strength – caution that Euro short term extended •News: Europe […]

Swing Trade Idea – May 23, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Mixed  global set-up •Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields slightly higher and steeper •Macro: Lower US$ is the main driver of equity commodity strength – caution that Euro short term extended •News: […]

Swing Trade Idea – May 20, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Bearish  global set-up •Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields slightly higher and steeper •News: China: CB cut 5yr prime by 15bps; Europe: German PPI 2.8% vs 1.2% m/m; •Stocks: PANW beat and […]

Swing Trade Idea – May 19, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Bearish  global set-up •Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields lower and flatter •News: USA: Philly Fed, UE claims; Europe: ECB Monetary Policy Meeting; Asia: Sri Lanka defaulted on foreign debt; HF: Melville […]

Swing Trade Idea – May 18, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Bearish  global set-up •Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields higher and steeper •News: USA: Housing starts 830ET; Europe: Final CPI 7.4% Y-Y Canada: CPI 830ET; FED Powell “Truthfully, this is not a […]

Swing Trade Idea – May 17, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Bullish  global set-up •Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields higher and steeper •News: USA: Retail sales 830ET; Industrial prod 915ET; Europe: GDP .3% vs .2% China: Vice Premier met with tech executives […]

Swing Trade Idea – May 16, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Bullish  global set-up •Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields lower curve flatter •News: USA: Empire State MFG Europe: Economic Forecast China: Retail Sales -11% Y-Y vs -6%; Industrial Prod. -2.9% vs 0.5; […]

Swing Trade Idea – May 13, 2022

• Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Bullish  global set-up •Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields higher curve steeper •News: USA: Consumer sentiment 10ET Bitcoin: Collapse of stable coin averted – Tether back to 1:1 peg, TerraUSD shut down. Bitcoin big […]

Swing Trade Idea – May 12, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Bearish  global set-up •Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields lower curve flatter •News: USA: PPI 830ET 30yr bond auction 1:01 Bitcoin: Tether fell below peg, Terra manager sold $3B of bitcoin to […]

Swing Trade Idea – May 11, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Bullish  global set-up •Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields lower curve flatter •News: USA: CPI 830ET Crude Inv. 1030ET; USA $40B to Ukraine $8.7B for weapons Europe: Lagarde China: Slowing Covid cases;  […]

Swing Trade Idea – May 10, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Bullish  global set-up •Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields lower curve flatter •News: USA: FOMC speakers Williams 740ET, Mester, Waller; Europe: German ZEW -34 vs -42; Italian prod 0 vs -1.4% Bitcoin: […]

Swing Trade Idea – May 9, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Bearish  global set-up •Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields higher curve steeper •News: USA: Wholesale Inventories 10ET Europe: Sentix investor confidence -22.6 vs -21.7 Canada: Building permits 830ET China: •Stocks: RIVN  F […]

Swing Trade Idea – May 6, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Mixed  global set-up •Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields higher curve flatter •News: USA: Non-farm jobs 830ET; Williams 915ET Bullard Waller 1915ET Europe: German Ind Prod -3.9% vs -1.3%, Italian retail sales […]

Swing Trade Idea – May 05, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Mixed  global set-up •Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields higher curve steeper •News: USA: UE claims 830ET ; Europe: German factory orders -4.7% vs -1%, French Ind Prod -0.5% vs -0.2% China: […]

Swing Trade Idea – May 4, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Mixed  global set-up •Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields curve unchanged •News: USA: FOMC 1400ET, Biden speaking 1400ET ADP 8:15ET ; Europe: Services PMI 57.7, Retail sales -.4% vs -.3; EU phase […]

Swing Trade Idea – May 3, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Mixed  global set-up •Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields higher curve steeper •News: USA: JOLTs, Factory Orders; Europe: Lagarde speaking, talking further Russian sanctions Australia: 25bps raise, Aussie +.7% •Stocks: CHGG weak […]

Swing Trade Idea – May 2, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Mixed  global set-up •Commodities:  Precious metals, oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields higher curve steeper •News: USA: ISM MFG PMI 10ET; China: MFG Purchase MGR PMI 47.4 Pressuring commodities, Beijing testing ramping; •Stocks: Buffet Names: […]

Swing Trade Idea – April 29, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Mixed  global set-up •Commodities:  Precious metals, oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields higher curve unchanged •News: USA: PCE 8:30ET Chicago PMI UofM consumer sentiment; Europe: CPI 3.5% vs 3.2%, GDP Q-Q .2% vs .3%; China: […]

Swing Trade Idea – April 28, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Strong  global set-up •Commodities:  Precious metals, oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields lower curve unchanged •News: USA: GDP UE claims 830ET, Nat Gas 1030ET; Japan: BOJ reaffirmed YCC – dollar positive Gas: Italian Eni applied […]

Swing Trade Idea – April 27, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Moderate  global set-up •Commodities:  Precious metals, oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields lower curve unchanged •News: USA: Pending home sales 10ET; Japan: BOJ outlook tonight China: PBoC looking to support the economy Gas: Russia will […]

Swing Trade Idea – April 25, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Weak  global set-up •Commodities:  Precious metals, oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields lower curve flatter •News: China: Concern of Beijing Covid lockdown – China lockdowns affecting commodity demand and shipping Europe: Macron won CAD: Macken […]

Swing Trade Idea – April 22, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Weak  global set-up •Commodities:  Precious metals, oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yield curve flattening in premarket •News: USA: Powell: May 50bps increase on table, labor market unsustainably hot; Nomura thinks 75 bps; PMI 9:45ET  Europe: […]

Swing Trade Idea – April 21, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Mixed  global set-up •Commodities:  Precious metals, oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields rose overnight with a minor steepening •News: Europe: CPI 7.4% vs 7.5%, Core CPI 2.9%; ECB VP raised possibility of rate increase  USA: […]

Swing Trade Idea – April 20, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Positive  global set-up •Commodities:  Precious metals, oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields pulled back and curve flattened as BOJ started a 4d program to buy unlimited JGBs to maintain yields. •News: Europe: German PPI 4.9% […]

Swing Trade Idea – April 19, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Mixed  global set-up •Commodities:  Precious metals, oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yield curve steepened overnight. Small bond bounce in premarket which can lift tech. Could be dead cat •News: OIL: Disruptions in Libya disrupting supply […]

Swing Trade Idea – April 18, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Mixed  global set-up •Commodities:  Precious metals, oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yield curve steepened c.f. Thursday. 10yr yield broken out of long term down trend •News: USA: Bullard 1600ET; China: GDP 4.8% Y-Y, Retail Sales […]

Swing Trade Idea – April 14, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Mixed  global set-up •Commodities:  Precious metals, oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yield curve slight flattening – 10yr 1.2%  at highs from Wed and Thurs •News: USA: Retail sales 830ET UofM consumer sentiment 10ET; China: Easing […]

Swing Trade Idea – April 13, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Mixed  global set-up •Commodities:  Precious metals, oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields unchanged but 10yr falling in premarket since 4ET. PPI print will move yields and hence tech and shorted stocks •News: USA: PPI 830ET; […]

Swing Trade Idea – April 12, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Mixed  global set-up •Commodities:  Precious metals, oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields higher 2-10 steeper. Expect movement post CPI report •News: USA: CPI 830ET Brainard 1210ET Bond Auction 1301 ET; China: Easing lockdown helping oil; […]

Swing Trade Idea – April 11, 2022

Market Setup pre-800ET •Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Negative  global set-up •Commodities:  Precious metals, oil and natgas, Grains, industrial metals (aluminum, copper, nickel palladium, zinc) •Yields: Yields higher 2-10 steeper •News: China: Lockdowns increasing, major impact on mfg and shipping.  Oil lower on reduced demand from China Europe: Positive bid […]

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