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  • Swing Trade Idea – March 09, 2023

    Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:

    ‘div’ – dividend 

    ‘m/m’ – month over month

    ‘y/y’ – year over year

    ‘y-y’ – year to year

    ‘Inven’ – inventories

    ‘mfg’ – manufacturing 

    +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative

     

    Color Key: Positive Neutral Negative

     

    Market Setup Pre-8:30 AM ET

    Global MarketsUSA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia Mild Negative equity global set-up

    CommoditiesGold, Silver, Oil, and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals

    Yields: Yields are higher

    Currencies:  US $ -.20%; $Yen +.67%

    News: USA: UE claims 8:30 ET; Barr speaks at10:00 ET; 30y Bond Auction 1:30 ET  China: CPI 1% Y-Y vs 1.9%; Japan: BOJ tonight could be a potential mover for the US$ and yields

    Stocks: JD -5% EPS; MDB -10% EPS; SHLS -7.8% secondary; SI -38% potentially shutting down, bitcoin affecting; SBNY -8% SI sympathy ; SVB -30% Asset sale and $1.75B share sell; ASAN +17% EPS; SAVA +12% insider buy

    General: Leading: GLD USO GDX Lagging: China Internet, bitcoin, emerging markets, ARKK, Semis

    Overview: USA indices weakening premarket.  Macro mild negative with European indices negative, US$ lower, yields higher. SPY 397.6 shows support at 397 and 395 with resistance at  400, 402, 405, and 410. The SPY can potentially be expected move +/- 2.3 today. QQQ 296.4 displays resistance of 298, 300, and 305  with support  295.6, 295, and 290. QQQ can potentially be expected to move +/-2.4. I see weakness in TSLA, AMZN, NVDA, and GOOGL and in my opinion the premarket is a concern should it continue into the open as market was supported by a few large stocks on Wednesday. Rise in the yields IMO is a front running of tonight’s BOJ meeting which is negative for tech and spec stocks. Financials are continuing to weaken, and in my analysis S&P will not be able to withstand this weakness in tech and financials. IN my opinion SPY 397 is a must hold line with 395 support, below.

    Stocks to watch PYPL, META, GE, TSLA, NVDA, JD, MDB, JPM Spec Names ASAN

    Pre-8:00 ET

    Earnings ASAN, MDB, VET, ARHS, BJ, FUTU, JD

    Indices USO, GLD, euro, XLE, KWEB, bitcoin, ARKK, EEM, SOXX, SMH, XLY, QQQ, faangmt

    S&P500 PYPL, SIVB, SBNY, ETSY, TSLA, SPG, VF, RF, NCLH, KHC

    IWM ASAN, SAVA, FRO, MSTR, AXSM, ADTN

    WSB UBER, COIN, TSLA, MSTR, RIVN, BABA, PLUG

    Movers ASAN, SAVA, VET, BJ, PUK, EXAS, FRO, PYPL, BUD, ROKU, SNY, UBER, AZN, SIVB, ARHS, MDB, SBNY, ETSY, RIO, BHP, NVS, TTD, COIN, TSLA, GH, BILI, PACW



    My Trade Idea: PYPL

    PYPL is a technical breakout stock. CFO is stepping down which is normally negative, but the stock moved higher. With the premarket high of $78.24 I may look for pull >=$76.4 for a long. In my opinion there is an expected move for the week is +/-1.9. Call buyers are targeting 80 over the next week. In my opinion bitcoin exposure is a concern, but PYPL seems unaffected. 

     

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