.

  • Swing Trade Idea – March 16, 2023

    Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:

    ‘div’ – dividend 

    ‘m/m’ – month over month

    ‘y/y’ – year over year

    ‘Inven’ – inventories

    ‘mfg’ – manufacturing 

    +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative

     

    Color Key: Positive Neutral Negative

     

    Market Setup Pre-8:30 AM ET PRE ECB

    Global MarketsUSA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia  Mild Negative equity global set-up

    CommoditiesGold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, and Industrial Metals

    Yields: Yields are lower

    Currencies:  US $ -.15%; $Yen +.62%

    News: USA: UE claims, Philly Fed at 8:30 ET Europe: Rate decision 9:15 25 vs 50 bps

    Stocks ADBE +5% Minor EPS beat; META +1.5%, SNAP +5.7%, PINS +1.8% Meme USA will ban Tiktok; PATH +15% EPS; ASO +2.6% EPS;

    CS +20% SNB loan; FRC -27%, PACW -17%

    General: Leading: Bitcoin, Spec tech, Bonds, and Gold  Lagging: Regional Banks, Energy, and Small Caps

    Overview: Global indices are mixed ahead of ECB rate decision. Macro setup positive with US$ and yield slower. SPY 389 with the support of 387, 385, and 380 with resistance at 390, and 395. SPY expected move +/- 3.9. QQQ 299.5 with resistance at 300, and 302 with the support of 298, and 295. QQQ expected move +/-1.7.  VIX futures remain inverted indicating elevated risk. QQQ is overbought at the top of the expected move for week. Wed large cap stocks were bought to support S&P, potential for continuation but odds favor pullback. Spec tech, bitcoin premarket strength are indication for potential short squeeze however ECB rate decision and USA UE claims are market moving events. SPY 385 remains a key support level and 393 a resistance level.

     Stocks to watch META, SNAP, PINS, ADBE, FDX, CS, FRC, DG Spec Names PATH, COIN, UI, ENVX

    Pre-800ET

    Earnings SIG, ADBE, PATH, ZTO, BEKE, DG, ASO

    Indices /btc, ARKK, TLT, GLD, GDX, JETS, euro, XLK, QQQ, KRE, USO, XLE, IWM, ICLN

    S&P500 ADBE, SWKS, META, FDX, QCOM, FRC, ZION, CMA, FITB, DG, AIG

    IWM CVI, ENVX, FL, MSTR, SIG, VIR, ESTE, HOPE

    WSB COIN, MSTR

    Movers PATH, SNAP, CVI, ENVX, ADBE, BEKE, SQ, COIN, PINS, SWKS, FL, META, UP, BUD, ZTO, FDX, QCOM, FRC, PACW, WAL, BIDU, DB, PUK, ZION, BHP, BILI, BP, JKS, WDS







    My Trade Idea: PATH

    Spec idea on strength of earnings beat.  In my opinion, High open interest at 17.5 may act as resistance and a potential squeeze higher. Can look for break above premarket highs or pullback > 16.3

     

0 comment
Top