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  • Swing Trade Idea – March 22, 2023

    Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:

    ‘div’ – dividend 

    ‘m/m’ – month over month

    ‘y/y’ – year over year

    ‘Inven’ – inventories

    ‘mfg’ – manufacturing 

    +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative

     

    Color Key: Positive Neutral Negative

    Global MarketsUSA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia  Positive equity global set-up

    CommoditiesGold, Silver, Oil and natgas, Grains, Industrial Metals

    Yields: Yields are higher

    Currencies:  US $ -.20%; $Yen -.3% Euro +.3%

    News: USA: FOMC rate decision at 14:00 ET UK: CPI 10.4% y-y vs 9.9% pound higher

    Stocks GME +47%, OLLI +10%, WGO +5.7% EPS NKE -1.5%, WOOF -6.5% EPS TSLA +.7%

    General: Leading:  Emerging Markets, China Internet, Retail, Financials  Lagging: Bonds, FAANGMT, Spec tech

    Overview: USA indices consolidating after Tuesday’s late day surge (short squeeze). SPY 398.5 with the support of 395, and 390 with resistance at  400. SPY expected move +/- 4.4. QQQ 309.5 with resistance at 310 and the support of 305, and 300. QQQ expected move +/-6. USA indices are at the top of the expected move for the week, hence statistically extended. All FAANGMT less MSFT are above the expected move for week with short term call squeezes with reward/risk ratio tilted to risk. FOMC is expected to raise 25bps but focus will be on the forecast with the market pricing in aggressive cuts into end of year and FED previously forecasting no cuts. If FED forecast remains the same, risk of pullback with QQQ at the greatest risk. 

    Stocks to watch TSLA, ENPH, OLLI, GOOGL, NKE, TLT Spec Names  GME

    Pre-800ET

    Earnings GME, HQY, OLLI, WGO, ARRY, WOOF, NKE

    Indices EEM, XLF, GDX, KRE, IWM, EFA, TLT, USO, QQQ, XLE, XLK

    S&P500 ENPH, HBAN, TSLA, ROST, FRC, GOOGL, BA, NKE, HST

    IWM HQY, WGO, SMTC, DNUT, AI, ENVX, AKRO, ARRY

    WSB GME, DNUT, TSLA, BABA, BA, WOOF

    Movers GME, OLLI, WGO, HSBC, SMTC, SPOT, WMG, ENPH, GFI, TSEM, TSLA, AKRO, WOOF, FRC, UBS, BA, RIO, ARRY, BBY, GOOGL





    My Trade Idea: NKE

    In my analysis, NKE earnings beat but stock pulled back. Analysts targets raised with targets 142-156. Premarket 123.  Long targets 125, 130. Below 120, potential fade. Note FOMC risk today after 14:00 ET.

     

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