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  • Swing Trade Idea – November 14, 2023

    Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:

    ** ‘div’ – dividend 

    ** ‘m/m’ – month over month

    ** ‘y/y’ – year over year

    ** ‘Inven’ – inventories

    ** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing 

    ** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative

    ** Underlined text – higher volume premarket

    ** ‘d’ – day

    **govt – government 

     

    Color Key: Positive Neutral Negative



    ·       Global MarketsUSA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia Neutral equity global set-up

    ·       Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals 

    ·       Yields: Long Yields lower Currencies:  USA -.06%

    ·       NewsUSA: CPI 8:30ET; EUR: GDP -.1% q/q; ZEW 9.8% vs 6.1%
    Stocks:
     HD +.9% SE -11% ONON -9% CSIQ -13%  Earnings reactions 
    Overview: USA SPY 440.6  support 437.5 435  and resistance   441 445 450  SPY expected move +/- 3.3   QQQ 378.2 with resistance   378.8 380 385 and support   375 370. QQQ expected move +/- 3.7.  *** Post CPI *** USA CPI 0.0% m/m below expectations leading to the expected drop in yields, US$ and move higher in commodities and USA listed stocks. Riskier equities tend to benefit and currently IWM and Nasdaq stocks are moving the most. Today’s daily expected move levels: SPY (443.5-436.9 QQQ (380.9-373.7), IWM (170.9-167.4) SPX (4444.35-4378.75). 


    ·       Stocks to watch TSLA, HD, TECK, KTOS, SNAP, CSIQ, ONON, SE     

    ·       Spec Names IONQ, PLUG, SHOP, NET, UPST 

     

    Pre-800ET
    Earnings   HD, BZ, SE, CSIQ, ONON, CAMT, VIPS, ENR

    Indices EWZ, ARKK, GDX, XLY, JETS, SOXX, TLT, QQQ, /btc, KWEB, USO, XLV, VXX, UUP

    S&P500 TSLA, MOS, CTLT, KHC, TTWO, VFC, HD, CF

    IWM KTOS, AMRC, SGRY, HLF, FRO, MSTR, ENR 

    WSB TSLA, MSTR, COIN
    Movers SNAP, TECK, KTOS, XPEV, FMS, BZ, BEKE, MOS, TSLA, KHC, AU, PBR, TSEM, CSIQ, SE, ONON, CAMT, EQNR, VIPS, FRO, AER, DV, LI, COIN

     

    Trade Idea: TSLA

    Low CPI print is leading to short covering and outperformance of the most beaten down stocks. TSLA was strong Monday and leading Tues. Expected daily move 229.4-218.1 currently above the expected move so may run with 235 240,245 targets. Very stretched so reversal possible

     

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