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  • Swing Trade Idea – April 2, 2024

    Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:

    ** ‘div’ – dividend 

    ** ‘m/m’ – month over month

    ** ‘y/y’ – year over year

    ** ‘Inven’ – inventories

    ** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing 

    ** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative

    ** Underlined text – higher volume premarket

    ** ‘d’ – day

    ** ‘Y’ – year

    **govt – government 

     

    Color Key: Positive Neutral Negative

     

    Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia Slight negative global set-up

    ·         Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals 

    ·         Yields: 30Y Bond -.5% Currencies: USA$ -.14% Vix: +1.7%

    ·         News: USA: Jolts 10:00 ET; FOMC Bowman, Williams, Mester, Daly EUR: German CPI 0.4% m/m MFG PMI 46.1 vs 45.7
    Stocks:
    PVH -21%, GOEV -28%, EPS, CHX +9.5%, SLB, buying EV China: March sales +.2% y/y UNH -4.4%, CVS -4.8%, ELV, CMS announced rate increase for 2025 same as January announcement.
    Overview: USA SPY 520.3 with support at 520 and 518, and resistance at 523 and 525; SPY expected move +/- 2.1.  QQQ 442.8 with resistance at 445 and 447.6, and support at 442.3 and 440; QQQ expected move +/-2.7.  USA indices are risk-off with IWM and QQQ leading to the downside. Commodities higher increases inflation concerns and long yields are rising pressuring rate sensitive sectors.  Strength in energy, metals, bitcoin and China and weakness in semis, spec tech, healthcare insurance. Jolts report at 10:00 ET will be market moving and may mark a turn if markets are lower into the open.  Levels to watch on pullback are SPY 520 and QQQ 440. Moves outside daily expected moves can lead to much larger moves. Today’s daily expected move levels: SPY (524.2-520.1), QQQ (447.6-442.3), IWM (210.3-206.4), and SPX(5264.6-5222.9). 

    Stocks to watch FCX, NEM, APA, GE, HUM, TSLA, PVH, DAL, NVDA, AAPL

    Spec Names GFI, MAG

    Pre-800ET
    Earnings  
    Indices
    VIX, SLV, GDX, FXI, GLD, COPX, IBIT, ARKK, ARKG, ARKF, XBI, IWM, XLV, IGV, TLT, SMH, DIA, IPO, XLK
    S&P500 EL, FCX, APA, NEM, GE, HUM, CVS, UNH, TPR, VFC, NCLH, TSLA, CCL, DAL, AAL, AMD, UAL
    Movers CHX, ROIV, BILI, ARRY, LI, GFI, EL, ZTO, TTE, BP, MAG, PBR, SHEL, FCX, VERV, PVH, GE, HUM, MSTR, EH, CVS, MARA, UNH, HOOD, COIN, RIOT, CLSK, TPR, AFRM, NXT, VFC, ASML, CVNA, RIVN, VKTX, AI, PLTR, BE

     

    Trade Idea: SPY

    S&P500 is moving lower with long yields higher. SPY is below 520 and below the daily expected daily move with potential targets 516 bottom of weekly expected move and 515 gamma level. Jolts report at 10:00 ET and Fed speakers throughout the day may influence the market. Usually on these days there can be a bounce near the end of the day as 0DTE puts monetize profit but no guarantee. 

     

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