Swing Trade Ideas – November 11, 2025
Date: Nov 11, 2025
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
** ‘Y’ – year
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong – Neutral set-up
- Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals, Bitcoin
- Yields: 30Y Bond -0.19% Currencies: USA$ -.03% CAD -0.08% YEN-0.12% BTC/USD-0.68% Vix:18.55
- Stocks: CRWV-9.9% SEA-7.4% RGTI-4% OKLO-3% HSAI+4.5% NBIS+2.5% RKLB+8% EPS
Events:USA: Govt reopening passed Senate and House voting on Wed.
Equity: USA SPY and QQQ closed Mon at the top of weekly expected move with an afternoon surge that lifted NVDA GOOGL PLTR above their weekly expected move. In theory the indices are extended. Premarket the indices are pulling back led by NVDA GOOGL and AI bros ORCL PLTR AMD. Aside from being overbought, catalysts are news that Softbank (AI bros) has sold it’s entire NVDA holdings and CRWV AI cloud services firm reducing it’s Q3 guidance. Mon was AI/spec tech day and premarket looks like rotation/pause day. Precious metals and miners are following through along with energy and bonds are a little soft which may be just trader action or a continued reaction to Trump tweets on mailing money from tariff revenue while SC debates legality of tariffs imposed. Positive reaction to RKLB earnings is lifting ARKX inspite of ASTS miss. NBIS which is a competitor to CRWV is higher post EPS and worth watching. SPX 0DTE positioning indicates support in range 6800-6830 with 6800 bull/bear level. Traders have flipped positioning from puts to calls and are looking for higher levels in MAGS maybe due to buyback machines restarting or expectation of House reopening govt, which can lead to govt spending or financial liquidity improving as FED increases the balance sheet or Trump continuing to tweet out new cunning ways to boost the stock market. Vix lower and VVIX falling is supportive to USA equity with only caveat that it’s an AI market and king of the AI market is reporting Nov19 and as goes NVDA goes the USA stock market. Softbank, king of speculative bubbles selling it’s position might be adding some concern for a nano second however contrarians can be buoyed by Burry being short NVDA and PLTR:)
SPY 679.8 Resistance 680 681 Support 679 678 677 QQQ 620.5 Resistance 622 625 Support 618 615
Daily Expected Move. SPX(6871-6793) SPY(685-677) QQQ(628-618) IWM(246-242)
Stocks to watch SLV GLD AAPL NVDA PLTR IBIT Speculative NBIS RKLB CRWV
Indices SLV GDX /CL GLD XLE ARKX IBIT UNG SMH MAGS ARKK MSOS XLK ETHE QQQ QTUM
S&P500 NVDA PLTR META
Other RKLB HSAI XPEV HMY NVO AG B CRWV CLSK SE RGTI CORZ OKLO WULF CIFR SNDK IREN MARA
NFLX
NFLX is potentially bottoming after an earnings drop. Will be doing a 1:10 split Nov17 and watching for a move higher into the split. 1120 is a large option position with call buyers positioned bullishly with targets 1160 and 1200. Consider long > 1120 with caveat that NFLX can be swept by the QQQ which is moving on AI sentiment
