Swing Trade Ideas – November 18, 2025
Date: Nov 18, 2025
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
** ‘Y’ – year
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong – Negative set-up
- Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals, Bitcoin
- Yields: 30Y Bond +0.24% Currencies: USA$ +0.02% CAD +0.17% YEN-0.11% BTC/USD -0.41% Vix:22.55
- Stocks:HD -3.9% BIDU -2.7% PDD -3.3% BRBR-12.6% MDT+3.3% AS+10% FUTU+1.25% EPS
Events:
Equity: Global indices are lower with weakness in MAGS and AI data center names. Latest landmine is Blue OWL, a PE firm associated with funding ORCL, suspending withdraws. AMZN was hit Mon on the announcement of a bond offering to pay for Capex and there are clear indications that the market does not like companies moving to the debt market to fundcapex e.g. ORCL, META. SPY and QQQ are at the put walls which are important. VIX, VVIX rising indicates caution with today the last day to trade Nov Vix options. Vix term structure is approaching inversion which is a strong warning. HD lower post EPS miss and potential for follow thru lower. BIDU, PDD are lower post EPS despite beats. Bitcoin continues to leak with concern that leveraged players may need to sell equity, potentially the spec tech and MAGS names. NVDA falling premarket with Softbank and Thiel selling and Burry short recent negative news, watch 185. META, MSFT, AMZN are approaching the lower expected move premarket with traders profit taking ahead of NVDA or rising concerns with the return on the debt. GOOGL is currently the standout from the rest of the MAGS with TSLA which does not trade on fundamentals one to watch, with a surge. Cloudflare (NET) outage is affecting the internet today, which is negative for NET and one to watch today intraday. Monday in the morning. Financial names like JPM MS GS have been recently hit potentially due to private credit concerns. Bond volatility (MOVE) is rising and Credit Default swaps are rising for companies like ORCL. Signs of liquidity concerns in financial markets which will lead to equity volatility until the Fed takes action. SPX 0DTE is not indicating major support at lower levels so can consider caution below 6640. Lately 0DTE have been entering large positions at 10ET, so time to pay attention.
SPY 662 Resistance 663.2 670 Support 660 QQQ 559.8 Resistance 605 610 Support 600 595
Daily Expected Move. SPX(6741-6603) SPY(672-659) QQQ(611-595) IWM(235-230)
Stocks to watch GOOGL B TLT MDT HD NVDA AMZN MSFT Speculative AS NET
Indices ETHE /CL TLT XLV SLV MSOS ARKK NUKZ EFA SMH XLY FEZ KWEB UNG ARKG ARKX MAGS
S&P500 MDT MRK HD HOOD PLTR AMZN MU ORCL INTC COIN AMD META NVDA SMCI AMAT
Other AS AXTA B FCX FUTU BRBR SFTBY NET PDD QBTS APLD BIDU SNDK
NET
NET was already falling with tech and cloud stocks. Today’s catalyst is a failure that is affecting many web sites and services. Premarket low 191.2 with 190 a key level below. NET is a day trading idea, oversold bounce potential with 195 and 200 upside targets or continuation below 190 with targets 185-175.
