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  • Swing Trade Ideas – December 9, 2025

    Dec 09, 2025 Uncategorized Comments Off on Swing Trade Ideas – December 9, 2025

    Date: Dec 9, 2025

    Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:

    ** ‘div’ – dividend

    ** ‘m/m’ – month over month

    ** ‘y/y’ – year over year

    ** ‘Inven’ – inventories

    ** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing

    ** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative

    ** Underlined text – higher volume premarket

    ** ‘d’ – day

    ** ‘Y’ – year

    **govt – government

    Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative

    Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China. Hong Kong – neutral set-up

    • Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals, Bitcoin
    • Yields: 30Y Bond +.19%  Currencies:  USA$ +0.01% CAD +0.03% YEN-0.22%  BTC/USD -0.35%  Vix:17.6
    • Events: USA: JOLTS job posting 10ET
    •  Stock News: OLLI -5.6% SAIL -3.75% TOL-3.85%  CPB+0.1% EPS
      Equity: USA indices muted overnight movement ahead of todays JOLTS report and Wed Fed meeting. Mon SPX pulled back to SPX 0DTE support 6825 before rebounding on news report that NVDA would be allowed to sel H2000 chips to China. China has previously dissuaded Chinese companies from buying NVDA chips so China reaction is important. NVDA is higher premarket leading MAGS and GOOGL lower with EU making anti-trust waves. China stocks are leaders to the downside and Japan to the upside. Silver is leading metals and copper declining, following China. NFLX large drop Mon after Trump tweeted re:WBD acquisition and premarket PSKY run by Ellisons’s son is higher. NFLX on the watch today. TOL lower post EPS with a weak 2026 forecast not positive for housing companies. ARES is being added to the S&P500, and given the short interest, could get a squeeze.SPX 0DTE largest position is 6845 can be used as a line in the sand today with 6825, 6800 support and 6850, 6900 resistance. Expected move for day is low but large intraday moves are quite likely with JOLTS at 10ET and news ahead of Wed FOMC.

      SPY 684  Resistance 685 687  Support 683 680  QQQ 624  Resistance 625 629  Support 622 620
      Daily Expected Move. SPX(6883-6810)  SPY(687-680) QQQ(629-620)  IWM(253-249)

      Stocks to watch   NVDA SLV AAPL   GOOGL TSLA OLLI     Speculative HMY AG ALAB
      Indices SLV GDX GLD /CL XLE TLT IWM XLF RSP XLK  KWEB UNG MSOS ETHE IBIT XLY

    S&P500  PSKY CVS ALGN PFE AZO FICO CPB WBD INTC ADBE NCLH FMC HD FIS DECK MRNA HOOD EQT FCX
    Other   ALEX ARES WVE RELX GLXY PSKY HMY DB AG OLLI ALAB BIDU BEKE XPEV BTI BABA JD NCLH CRWV

    NVDA

    NVDA popped Mon after Trump decreed that NVDA could again sell H2000 chips to China reversing the previous reversal. NVDA would pay 25% of the revenue to USA govt. Applies to INTC and AMD. China has previously ordered companies not to buy USA chips so next move depends on China response. Reports that NVDA has been buying the latest chips through Singapore may mean that the official Chinese position may not change, which will be negative for NVDA. Option positioning support at 185 with calls acting as resistance at 188 and above 188 target 190 and above 190 target 193, 195.

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