Swing Trade Ideas – February 18, 2026
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
** ‘Y’ – year
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global
Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong – positive set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Copper, Palladium, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Bitcoin
· Yields: 30Y Bond -0.13% Currencies: USA$ +0.13% CAD -0.11% YEN -0.30% BTC/USD-0.55% Vix:20.1
· Events:USA: Durable goods, housing starts 830ET; Industrial Production 915ET
· Stock News:GRMN+ 10.6%, ADI+7.8%, SEDG+1%, VRSK+9%, GLBE+23%, PANW-6.8%, FVRR-17.8%, Earnings META NVDA deal for a gazillion GPUs
·
Equity: USA indices higher permarket along with
international markets which are open. QQQ is leading premarket with NVDA and
AMZN leading. NVDA higher on a deal with META which with AVGO and AMD lower
indicates an appetite for high end GPUs. META initially higher but lower
pre-market likely due to the capital spending. ADI higher on earnings adds
additional support to industrial semi names. PANW lower on lower guidance may
weigh on other security names. Earnings names moving > expected move:
Higher: GLBE WING VRSK GPN Lower:FVRR DINO. Metals rebounding premarket
after Tues dip and oil and defense higher as geopolitical risk in middle east
remains elevated. Stocks are moving with 13F filings: AMZN higher with Ackman
buying; MU with Tepper; NYT with Berkshire. SNDK lower with WDC planning to
sell some to raise $3.17B and RIOT higher with Starboard urging changes.
Durable goods and housing starts better than expected positive for the economy
with industrial production on deck. Fed meeting minutes in the afternoon potentially
market moving. Vix options expire at the open and can lead to volatility today
which is expected given negative gamma set-up. SPX guard rails are
6900-6800 with 6850 a useful pivot level. SPY/QQQ are pulling back post the
econ data as is the TLT so maybe good data is bad or some profit taking after
an overnight rise.
·
Daily Expected Move. SPX(6899-6787) SPY(688-677)
QQQ(608-595) IWM(266-260)
Stocks to watch NVDA VRSK ADI AMZN PLTR PANW ANET CRWD AMD Speculative
RIOT
ONDS VNET
Indices SLV /CL XLE SMH GLD GDX KWEB XME ARKX MAGS XLK QQQ UNG ETHE IBIT
ARKG XLRE
S&P500 VRSK GRMN
GPN CDNS CE ADI MRNA CZR PODD SNPS PANW ANET AMD CRWD RSG HST QRVO
Other GLBE RIOT HL ONDS STM AG VOD SEDG ASTS CRCL VNET APLD
SBSW WPC
DFEN
The Direxion Daily Aerospace & Defense Bull 3X Shares (DFEN) is a high-risk, leveraged ETF seeking 300% of the daily performance of U.S. aerospace and defense stocks. Major holdings include GE Aerospace, RTX Corp, Boeing, and Lockheed Martin. It is designed for short-term, active trading, not long-term holding, due to daily rebalancing.
Defense stocks have been strong as USA escalates in the middle east. Many of the defense stocks are expensive with low option liquidity so DFEN is an instrument for short term trading. It is leveraged so higher risk. ITA is a unleveraged alternative. Both have high concentrations in GE, which can be traded with options directly
