Swing Trade Ideas – February 3, 2026
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
** ‘Y’ – year
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong – slight negative set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Copper, Palladium, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Bitcoin
· Yields: 30Y Bond +0.05% Currencies: USA$ +0.21% CAD -0.35% YEN -0.05% BTC/USD-7% Vix:19.15
· Events: USA: ISM mfg 10ET; Treasury QRA 15ET [ issuance planned for quarter and mix of bills, notes, bonds. More bills is positive for equity]
· Stock News: PLTR+10% TER+23% PFE-4.5% TDG-3.9% PYPL-15% ADM-4% IT-7.5% ETN-3.3% PEP-0.26% RMBS-7% Earnings SpaceX buying X.AI and Elon pumping data centers in space, lifting space stocks
·
Equity: USA indices slightly higher led
by QQQ. Vol fell with Monday squeeze and QQQ is at 630 key level which is a
major option level, daily expected move and prior high hence a breakout or
consolidation/pullback level. MAGS all higher with exception of AAPL
which hit the weekly expected move Mon and MSFT which has continued to fall.
Semis continue to be strong with memory names in a squeeze. SpaceX buying X.AI and
discussing an IPO this year and data centers in space is inspiring the monkeys
to buy space stocks like RKLB, ASTS, PL. Metals are higher with gold, silver,
copper all surging along with the miners so the trade is not over but high vol
means large moves in either direction are possible. China stocks lower
following Monday weak mfg data. Earnings stars PLTR (AI), TER (semi, robotics);
Dogs PYPL (payment) PFE, RMBS (memory) IT (AI loser?) Can look at these for
either continuation or reversion.
·
Daily Expected Move. SPX(7008-6944), SPY(699-692),
QQQ(630.5-621.7), IWM(264.5-260)
Stocks to watch PLTR AMD GOOGL TER AMZN PYPL PFE AAPL BABA Speculative
HYMC
CRML RMBS
Indices SLV GLD GDX ARKX ARKQ XME UFO SMH QTUM ARKF XLK KWEB ETHE XLF
XLP
S&P500 TER DVA PLTR
AES GLW WDC FCX MPC INTC PYPL IT AME PFE TDG ETN NXPI ACN HUBB BG
Other HYMC WULF HL CDE CRML LITE RDW RKLB RELX RMBS
VIST GLXY BABA SAP GME JD
AMD
AMD reports after the close. Expected move is +/-20.6. Call wall 260, put wall 220. AMD has moved outside the expected move ½ of the 12 prior earnings report but inside for the last 4. Traders are balanced bullish and bearish. If skew is moderately supportive for calendar/diagonal trades and IV is potentially supportive for short iron condor trades but risk of an outsized move
