Swing Trade Ideas – March 19, 2026
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing ** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
** ‘Y’ – year
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong – negative set-up
• Commodities: Gold, Silver, Copper, Palladium, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Bitcoin
• Yields: 30Y Bond -0.41% Currencies: USA$-+.03% CAD -0.17% YEN +0.39% BTC/USD-1.83% Vix:25.25
•
Events:USA: UE claims
Stock News: FIVE+6% MU-6.1% CSIQ-16% BABA-4% ACN-3.4% Earnings
Equity: Global indices lower after Israel escalated by bombing
Iranian natural gas field for the first time and Iran responded by bombing
energy facilities in Qatar and UAE. Significant escalation as energy supply
will not immediately respond if Hormuz is opened. Europe and Asia are more
sensitive to middle east energy and hence equity markets reacting more
negatively. US$ rising, bond yields rising and yield spreads widening are
risk-off signals. SPX is at the 200sma and at the put wall. Potential lower
target into end of March is 5800/4875 which are the long put strikes in the JPM
quarterly hedged ETFS. Post end of Month, potential for lower levels. MU lower
post earnings is weighing on semis and memory names SNDK, WDC, STX. MU earnings
were good as expected but capital expenditure plans were much higher than
expected. MAGS are generally lower with AAPL the outlier and can act as a
defensive name. Positive stocks are energy and the fertilizers, chemicals
which can benefit from a continuation of the middle east war and shortages.
Precious metals continuing lower, and miners are getting hammered premarket.
BABA, FIVE, CSIQ, ACN are post earnings names that will be in play. SPX
positioning is negative gamma which means large intraday moves are to be
expected. The SPX lower daily expected move is 6550 but if overshoots, the
target into EOM is 6500. Equity market is inverse the oil market so may see
large moves on tweets/rumours intraday. Note that realized volatility has been
much lower than implied as institutions are hedged and risk is the realized
move catching up to implied which can lead to a vol spike and a move down in
equity.
Stock AAPL CF FIVE NEM MU FCX NVDA AVGO Speculative GFI RKLB
Indices /CL XLE IYT UNG IBIT KWEB RSP
SLV GDX MAGS IWM IGV XBI
S&P500 ALGN CF MOS INCY CTRA PAYX EQT WAT LYB OTIS NEM MU FCX ALB ACN WDC STX APP VICI
LHX
Other VG+12% EQNR+4% BP+1.4% RKLB+1.2% AU GFI AG CDE PAAS HL B BABA STM SAN
BCS BHP NVO CRCL
MU
MU lower post earnings report which was positive but capital spending plan was higher than expected. Level to watch is 430 which is a large option level and the premarket low. Below 430 there are large option positions at 400 and 390 which can act as support. Above, 440 and 450 are potential resistance levels. 445 is a top of gap and 425 is bottom of gap.
