Swing Trade Ideas – April 17, 2026
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing ** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
** ‘Y’ – year
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong – neutral set-up
• Commodities: Gold, Silver, Copper, Palladium, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Bitcoin
• Yields: 30Y Bond +0.13% Currencies: USA$-0.12% CAD +0.2% YEN +0.02% BTC/USD+0.33% Vix:20.35
•
Events USA: Trump says peace talks may resume
this weekend while USA moves more troops and ships to the middle east
Stock News: NFLX-10% AA -1.3% ERIC-1% FITB+0.3% Earnings
Equity: USA indices higher premarket with into monthly Opex. Trump
continues to talk the market up (squeeze shorts) with suggesting that
potentially more Iran talks this weekend and Israel backing off from attacking
Lebanon. USA is moving additional troops and ships to the middle east but
market is positioned for peace and no impact due to the strait closed. Oil
futures are lower despite substantially higher prices being paid for the
physical and UK running out of jet fuel in 3 weeks. S&P rise from the lows
has been record and fueled by shorts covering, vol falling and CTA flipping
from short to long. One can consider the probability of the USA resuming the
attack and think about downside hedges. Large cap tech is leading with software
continuing to rise as hedge funds unwind hedges but in this case they are
buying semis. NFLX is the big name that reported earnings and has moved below
the expected move on an earnings miss and the departure of the CEO and on watch
for moves in RTH. IWM is the leading index and the speculative tech ETFS are
strong so risk on premarket but it’s Opex and expiration of calls today can act
as a brake into end of day unless price can continue to run. Next week big
names reporting are: VRT TSLA GE BA IBM and may see a mechanical bid into
earnings.
•
Stock AAPL MSFT ORCL NOW NFLX XOM Speculative SOFI AXTI
Indices SLV IGV XLK ARKF SMH IWM GDX
MAGS ARKK AIPO /CL USO XLE
S&P500 UAL NOW NCLH HOOD AAPL TSLA MSFT WDC UNH F GM INTC NFLX XOM
Other UMC SAP ZETA AAL STM SOFI ASX BCS BP ERIC AXTI NBIS
TSLA
TSLA is reporting earnings next week which may attract buying. It’s higher premarket and typically does well when shorts are being squeezed. Expected move is +/-6.3 into close today and +/-27 into April 27. There are large call positions at 395 so long idea > 395 with 400 target today. Potential squeeze to 430.
