Swing Trade Ideas – April 30, 2026
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing ** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
** ‘Y’ – year
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong – slight positive set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Copper, Palladium, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Bitcoin
· Yields: 30Y Bond +0.19% Currencies: USA$-0.61% CAD +0.22% YEN +2.16% BTC/USD+.90% Vix:20.15
·
Events USA: PCE, GDP 830ET
Stock News: GOOGL+7.5% LLY+6% AMZN+3.5% CAT+6% ABBV+1.5% PWR+9% META
-8.3% MSFT-1% MA-1.6% KLAC-5% Earnings
Equity:USA higher after a turbulent overnight session bouncing, dipping
and bouncing. Hyperscaler earnings reactions divergent with GOOGL +1.5x
expected move and META -1.5x EM; AMZN higher and MSFT lower. Key to the market
is the Capex spending which remains high and benefiting the ecosystem with CAT,
PWR two larger names and VIAV a smaller name higher on earnings. Optical,
semis, power related all higher on continuing Capex spending. Oil dipped
slightly from elevated levels and may have fueled the latest bounce with
precious metals higher in reaction. It is end of month and some funds may be
rebalancing which can provide a lift to laggards. SPX is well supported with
0DTE positioning upside resistance 7200 and pivot at 7150. When there are large
moves in large market cap names like GOOGL, it tends to suck capital away from
other sectors which may explain weakness in financials, software. USA GDP, PCE
were released premarket and led to a small dip that is being bought. The main
risk to the global economy is the SoH which remains closed and a tin hat
wearing person may notice that Trump uses the confluence of a high stock market
and a weekend to launch a strike. Meanwhile AAPL reporting tonight and AI
related names are still being gobbled up by momentum monkeys
Stock GOOGL QCOM
CAT MU META MSFT Speculative VIAV VG
IndicesGDX SLV GLD ETHE AIPO IBIT SMH QTUM XLY XLV XME USO UNG XLF
KRE UUP IGV XLRE XLB XLC
S&P500 QCOM GOOGL
RCL LLY CAT BAX TER LITE WDC SNDK CMG COHR AMZN INTC META F CAG
MSFT OXY
AAPL
AAPL reports after the close with an expected move of +/- 9.3
AAPL has moved outside the expected 4/12 times so tends to be well behaved. IV is somewhat elevated this week relative to subsequent so one can consider calendars or with propensity to not make large moves, a neutral trade like an iron condor may be an idea
