Swing Trade Ideas – July 13, 2026
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing ** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
** ‘Y’ – year
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong –neutral set-up
• Commodities: Gold, Silver, Copper, Palladium, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Bitcoin
• Yields: 30Y Bond –0.11% Currencies: USA$-0.06% CAD +0.18% YEN -0.25% BTC/USD-1.6% Vix:17.25
•
Events USA: USA bombed Iran and Iran closed
SoH. Waiting on Axios tweet that Iran begging for a deal
Stock News KOSPI halted overnight with
Samsung -5% Hynix -15% spilling over to USA semis MU, SNDK
Equity USA indices are weaker with USA attacks on Iran leading
to SoH closed and Korea halted. Oil and yields higher but not significantly
hence either market doesnt care or expect the nth Trump taco. With Opex Fri,
the S&P tends to be supported by positioning with SPX7500 the key level and
7530/20 support levels above. Correlation is extremely low which leads to large
swings in individual names. KOSPI halted due to unwind in Hynix and Samsung
which spills over into MU, SNDK and WDC and then weighs on semis. Software is
higher to compensate and MAGS are led by MSFT with NVDA lagging. NVDA has
moved down the full daily expected move and worth watching for buying once it
settles down. Financials are reporting this week and as part of the rotation,
are bid premarket. AI group is lower premarket after a large move Fri and
potentially just taking a breather before the monkeys reengage. Energy is
bouncing with the SoH closure and next move depends on Trump’s next tweet.
Market is discounting Trump fully restarting the war due to the adverse impact
on midterms and the stock market but still waiting on the premarket tweet from
Axios that Iran is begging for a deal. Major earnings and CPI/PPI this week but
today is light on catalysts so market is in the hands of 0DTE traders which
have reliably sold puts on dips and as long as they do, S&P can remain
afloat and rotation can continue. A break below 7500 will be the caution
signal.
•
Stock MSFT NOW CDNS SHOP MU SKHY NVDA Speculative FIG
TSEM BE
Indices /CL XLE IGV XLF XLP DRAM SLV UNG IBIT GLD GDX XLK QQQ ETHE AIPO
S&P500 TTD OXY APA DVN DECK CVX PYPL XOM INTU NOW SNDK WDC MU AMAT STX TER COHR KLAC
INTC
Other VOD VG SHOP IQMX SOFI FIG INFY EQNR
JD BW CLBT BP KEP FHB
TSEM MXL BE AMKR WYFI CLSK SKM
EWZ
EWZ gap up following large option volume Fri, EWZ is now testing 50sma. Positioning is tilted to calls with a potential upside target of 40. Brazil has a large commodity exposure, especially oil so will be sensitive to SoH. Central bank is easing rates and there is some optimism regarding the 2026 elections which is supportive. With the gap-up one may look for an intraday pullback for an entry. Large short call position at 37 may act as a magnet and then become resistance or an acceleration level.
