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  • Swing Trade Ideas – August 25, 2026

    Date: August 25, 2026

    Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:

    ** ‘div’ – dividend

    ** ‘m/m’ – month over month

    ** ‘y/y’ – year over year

    ** ‘Inven’ – inventories

    ** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing ** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative

    ** Underlined text – higher volume premarket

    ** ‘d’ – day

    ** ‘Y’ – year

    **govt – government

    Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative

    Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong –mild positive set-up

    • Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Copper,  Palladium, Oil, natgas, AGGS,  Bitcoin
    • Yields: 30Y Bond +0.43%  Currencies:  USA$+0.05% CAD -0.03% YEN -0.06%  BTC/USD+0.69%  Vix:17.5
    • Events USA: Consumer confidence 10ET; 2Y bond auction 13ET  EUR: German GDP improved
    • Stock News BNS+2% BMO     DKS-15%    EPS

      Comments Global indices bounce premarket with European open. Catalyst, another report that USA is placing an offer to open the SoH. Reaction is the usual oil lower, yields lower and speculative and AI/semi stocks higher. Koreans were buyers overnight lifting memory and hence NVDA which is a leader along with META. DKS is the dog of the day, lower post earnings which is also weighing on NKE. BNS and BMO reported and BNS higher and should help lift the TSX and other Canadian banks, which have weakened with tariff uncertainty.  Software is lower while semis are higher so the dispersion within tech continues so not broadbased tech buying, more of a rotation or rearrangement of the deck chairs. Watch whether the semi/AI names can continue to run past 1030 today.  The oil move has led to metal lower and bonds higher and so far seems like another unverified, news bite which appears when yields and oil get uncomfortably high. SPX 0DTE positioning indicates positive gamma above and below price with 7665 line in the sand and upside targets 7700 7750. Bond auction at 13ET may be market moving with the focus on yields.

      Stock NVDA MU META MRVL   DKS NKE  Speculative  AXTI RKLB CRCL HL 
      Indices  DRAM SMH AIPO XLK QQQ XBI   USO XLE SLV UNG

    S&P500 SNDK INTC MRVL AMD MU MRNA META  NKE
    Other FLNC AXTI BE NVTS AAOI NBIS RKLB CBRS SPCX   DKS EQNR CRCL HL

    NVDA

    NVDA reports after the close Wed. Premarket the semi/AI names are higher after pulling back last few days. Positioning is bullish with calls at 210 defining a line in the sand with upside target 215. Historically NVDA has lifted before the report and then fallen after reporting a beat so a potential long idea

     

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