.

  • Swing Trade Ideas – September 21, 2026

    Date: Sept 21, 2026

    Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:

    ** ‘div’ – dividend

    ** ‘m/m’ – month over month

    ** ‘y/y’ – year over year

    ** ‘Inven’ – inventories

    ** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing ** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative

    ** Underlined text – higher volume premarket

    ** ‘d’ – day

    ** ‘Y’ – year

    **govt – government

    Color Key: Positive Neutral Negative

    Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong – positive set-up

    • Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Copper,  Palladium, Oil, natgas, AGGS,  Bitcoin
    • Yields: 30Y Bond +0.55%  Currencies:  USA$+0.04% CAD -0.11% YEN -0.33%  BTC/USD+4.2%  Vix:17.7
    • Events USA: Trump XI meeting and UN Meeting potentially raising hope that geopolitical mess may become less messy. Iran will have a rep at the UN meeting.
    • Stock News ACN deal with Anthropic; Korean exports strong
      Comments Global indices higher predominately IMO due to WTIC lower.  WTIC lower despite diesel supply critical and middle east conflict growing is potentially optimism that meetings this week with China will prevent a slide into the abyss. USA indices are led by the AI cohort with Korean semi export data strong, ACN $2B deal with anthropic and USA-China AI talk sufficient to keep the animal spirits strong. Semis are led by INTC, MRVL which are the most volatile of the cohort. MAGS are led by META with Muse gaining attention and TSLA, which is strong on risk-on Mondays. Bitcoin ripped on the weekend and lifting the related crypto names like SECZ ASST MSTR CRCL MARA.  Long yields lower with oil lower is generally positive for long duration names which are usually high beta tech (ARKK ARKG). SPY and QQQ are short term extended with the overnight squeeze so question is whether can continue once the market opens. Breadth has been very low and at oversold levels despite the indices not pulling back.  One should keep a look out for a rotation into the lagging groups, which are everything except AI and energy.  SPX upper pivot 7700 and lower pivot 7675. It looks like 0DTE are selling upside calls which can cap upside or lead to a squeeze if they can drive through. The set-up is risk-on, a Constanza move with the geopolitical situation worsening and potentially hopium (or inside knowledge) that the meetings this week will reverse damage caused by the initiation of the Iranian war initiated in April.  TBD whether there will be an actual change or continuation.

      Stock INTC NVDA ACN COIN META  NVO  Speculative SECZ PURR ASST
      Indices IBIT ETHE DRAM SMH AIPO QTUM KWEB XLK  USO UNG XLE 

    S&P500  WBD HOOD COIN INTC ACN SMCI GLW WDC AMD MRVL COHR BE META HP  
    Other SECZ ASST MSTR CRCL BMNR AXTI MARA RIOT  NVO LI XPEV




    BABA

    BABA has been bearish along with other China tech names despite strong performance of it’s AI developments and investments. XI visit to USA potential catalyst for a rebound but risky as the bounce may be short lived. Bullish positioning with call buyers targeting 120, 130, 140.  One can consider a call vertical targeting a move to 120 or optimistically to 130 with time. Caveat if the talks are a bust, so could be the move in BABA

     

0 comment
Top