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  • Swing Trade Ideas – September 25, 2026

    Sep 25, 2026 Uncategorized Comments Off on Swing Trade Ideas – September 25, 2026

    Date: Sept 25, 2026

    Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:

    ** ‘div’ – dividend

    ** ‘m/m’ – month over month

    ** ‘y/y’ – year over year

    ** ‘Inven’ – inventories

    ** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing ** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative

    ** Underlined text – higher volume premarket

    ** ‘d’ – day

    ** ‘Y’ – year

    **govt – government

    Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative

    Global Markets:  USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong – Positive set-up

    • Commodities:  Gold, Silver, Copper,  Palladium, Oil, natgas, Gasoline  AGGS,  Bitcoin
    • Yields: 30Y Bond -0.24%  Currencies:  USA$-0.31% CAD -0.03% YEN +0.84%  BTC/USD+0.25%  Vix:17.6
    • Events USA: Durable goods 830ET Consumer sentiment 10ET; China-USA meeting ongoing. Extended tariff truce for 2 months
    • Stock News BB +3%  COST-.4%  Earnings  AKAM $11.6B Anthropic cloud deal
      Comments Global indices ex-China higher with macro factors oil, yields and US$ lower. China-USA talks have extended trade truce for 2 months. Yen is higher on fear of further intervention by Bessent of MOF which is positive usually for metals, which are bouncing. Oil fell and equity bounced Thur on a Reuter story that USA-Iran may discuss opening SoH as the market was looking shaky, coincidence?  AKAM is the big mover with Anthropic cloud deal which is raw meat for the AI/Semi monkeys and unsurprisingly semis and AI are leading. MAGS are generally positive ex-META which has been leading and every premarket dip being bought. The CPUs are the shiny semi object du jour with ARM the lead pony premarket followed by INTC and AMD.  COST earnings were good but stock is trading lower, monkeys are still chasing AI/semis.  SPX 0DTE 7730 is a pivot level with calls above that can lead to 7770-7800 and support 7675. Option positioning in indices and large stocks is tilted to calls. Option IV is low if looking for upside or downside trades. Red flag is the disconnect between the equity and bond market volatility. Bond MOVE is indicating risk with yields very elevated while equity Vix is low. Unusual set-up and ultimately one will be proven correct. I am wondering whether equity market is positioning for end of quarter window dressing and want to print that they owned all the leaders i.e. AI/Semis, biotech. Can explain the disregard for the otherwise poor macro set-up.

      Stock AKAM ARM TSLA AIPO    Speculative FRVO CIFR SBSW  IONQ
      Indices DRAM SLV SMH AIPO GDX ARKG ARKX QQQ   UNG USO /CL XLE  UUP

    S&P500 AKAM SNDK MRVL AMD LITE DELL WDC AVGO NCHL SMCI BE QCOM  NKE CMCSA 
    Other FRVO ARM MUFG CIFR SBSW AXTI HMY ALM FSLY UBS CRDO  IONQ QBTS





    AKAM

    AKAM gapped higher with a deal with Anthropic for cloud services. AKAM has large call positions at 120 which can be used as a pivot with squeeze potential above. Potential resistance 125 and 140 based on positioning. Short interest is 15% which can add to the squeeze. Issue with the deal is AKAM will need to spend $5.5B on capex which will reduces free cash flow and of course this is dependent on Anthropic being successful and AI mania continuing for many years..

     

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